Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Peyton Elizabeth | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Date Night Kisses | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Carroll Girl | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Recognize Me | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Penny Polka | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Forest Acclamation | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Nohai | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ruby River | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Bolt | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | La Tremenda | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lorraine’s Way | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet and Feisty | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Lady Bae | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Leelinda | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Doctor’s Orders | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fridayswithmurray | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Elfuegomasbrilante | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kunooz | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fightnomoreforever | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Country Charlie | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ray’s Blue Wagon | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Prince | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | K’s Storm Ready | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Major Offensive | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Meatballsforaries | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pinky Swear | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Back Wall Bandit | 2.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Let’em Hate | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Relli’s Cruiser | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | High Heel Native | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Echale Ganas | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Great Artist | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mortal Sin | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dominguez | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kuz It’s Chilly | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Muthabir | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tiger Paw (IRE) | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Always Fun | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Comanche Peak (GB) | 8.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | If I Were You | 6.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Bold Licorice | 15.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shellback | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Plausible Denile | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Intrepid’s Legacy | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Try Harder | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | De Angelo | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nancy Made My Day | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Respirator | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Soze | 1.80 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Noble Jon | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Boss Is a Pal | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Nitro Time | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Psychedelic Shack | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mean Jakey | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Where’s Ray | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | B Determined | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Don’t Wait Up | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Prom Knight | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Discreet Devil | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hurricane Jane | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Best Worst Idea | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Morgan | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hold On | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Lena | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bella Creed | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Electrica | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Authenticated | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gortreagh Gal | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.