Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sky Baby | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Five Eyes Onmichel | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Evanora | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Girl Dynamite | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | R Wins Aren’t Luck | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Square Baby | 30.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ave Fenix | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Show Off | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | China Blue | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Field of Blossoms | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Para Siempre | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nanananabooboo | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Three Run Bolt | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hits Different | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Eloper | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | R Awesome Sauce | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | What a Knockout | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Play Free Bird | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lisca Bianca | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chacarera | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Plum Irish | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Meet Me in the Air | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Derby Hangover | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Il Suo Oro | 4.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Boombox Betty | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Baha Secret | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stubold | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Want All the Smoke | 15.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Not Guilty | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | J J Monet | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Windrush | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Shancelicious | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fighting Words | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hendrickson | 20.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Strengthnguidance | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Cha Cha | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kuwait Towers | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blazing Tyreek | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flat Cap | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Giddy Up Baby | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Money Trail | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Majustify | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | No Time to Wait | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Liz Loves Shopping | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Starship Nautilus | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ylana | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | E M’s Treasuregirl | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Madness | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kikilove | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Compass Rises | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Go Big Green | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Darling Darley | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Drill’s Valentine | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Handicap) – Handicap
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hades | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Catalytic | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Relampago Verde | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eldest Son | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Awesome Train | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fiveeyesonskystars | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Vino Santo | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fourty Four | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Valid Sense | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Trillion Town | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lao Way | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sunday Song | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wolverton Mountain | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Senor Money | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.