Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Friday, July 25, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Miss Im Pulsive 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Sunshine Lily 6.00 2 4-1
4 4 Accelerated News 4.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Our Preferred Pal 6.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Manhattan Beauty 2.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Lady Angelina 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Killy Start 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Miss Lao 4.50 1.2 2-1
3 3 Altered Shot 8.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Spring Magic 2.50 3 6-1
1 1 Echo in Eternity 4.00 4 8-1
5 5 Lady Arwen 5.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Bourbon Milk Punch 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Athaliah 4.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Ashes and Diamonds 3.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Sharon Horizons (IRE) 2.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Amelia 12.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Bedford the Brave 12.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Babysitter 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Who’s the King 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Ultimate Strike 4.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Bob John Ray 8.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Gotta Guy 8.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 True Connection 4.50 3.7 7-1
6 6 I’m Solo N in Love 3.50 4.9 9-1
7 7 Brown Don’t Stop 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Parade Ring (IRE) 1.80 1 2-1
2 2 Hidden Agenda 12.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 New Issue 2.50 2.5 5-1
7 7 Silver Pearls 2.50 2.9 5-1
4 4 Aerialist 12.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Katerina Ristova 30.00 4 8-1
8 8 Bengalese 30.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Aunt Nona 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Styner 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Hero Status 3.50 2 4-1
6 6 Peek 3.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Unbridled Bomber 4.50 5.1 10-1
2 2 Catch the Smoke 3.50 5.9 11-1
4 4 J J’s Joker 6.00 6.6 13-1
1 1 He’s Got This 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 2 Maiora 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Pan Pan 10.00 2.5 5-1
3 1 Curly Q Girl 6.00 3.3 6-1
5 3 Market Chill 6.00 4.3 8-1
6 4 Red Violet 3.00 4.3 8-1
2 6 Flighttown 4.50 4.5 9-1
2B 9 Time to Dream 4.50 4.7 9-1
1A 11 Raging Bloom 12.00 5.8 11-1
10 12 So Vain 2.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Ms Daredevil 6.00 SCRATCH
9 10 Mappy 20.00 SCRATCH
11 13 Starlit Sky 8.00 SCRATCH
1 5 Sharing Wisdom (GB) 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Sheer Will 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Darty Time 3.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Lady Gunner 10.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Cara’s Chianti 4.50 3.6 7-1
7 7 Circuit Court 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Cote Fleurie 10.00 6.1 11-1
1 1 Kate Barry 4.00 7.9 15-1
8 8 Tafaany 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Amsterdam S. Presented By Albany Med Health System) – Amsterdam S. Presented By Albany Med Health System

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Gunmetal 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Macho Music 2.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Smoken Wicked 6.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Garamond 3.50 1.7 3-1
5 5 Gate to Wire 5.00 4 8-1
4 4 T Kraft 8.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Mati Gol 15.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Uncaged 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Professor Grace 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Addagirl Addie 4.50 1 2-1
9 9 Practical Romance 4.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Catholic Edition 3.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Dividend Recap 3.50 2.4 4-1
1 1 Alice Fantastic 15.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Immigration Law 20.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Forget Tomorrow 15.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Purest Performance 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Ashdale 2.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.