Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Otto the Conqueror | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Loco Abarrio | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Friar Laurence | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cold as Hell | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lost in Rome | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Honorary Degree | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gun It | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Vino Vici | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Soldier N Diplomat | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Amador | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Further Ado | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Accost | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Exhibition Only | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Feral | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Forever Man | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Tarpaulin | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Middle Market | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brave Buck | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | John the Baptist | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dialbolico | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Vigano | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Profitability | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Broderick | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Majestic Arc | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Arthur’s Ride | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Blue Line | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Film Star | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kuchar | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Trademark | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Strapped | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Side Eye | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Unbroken Chain | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Koctel War | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Korrongo | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Nano Man | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hard Par | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Cousin Ed | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Ready Set Twirl | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Messi the Magician | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 11 | Basic Truth | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mackville | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 14 | Fly’n Frisbee | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Wecallemfuncoupons | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Dark Magic | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tongue Twister | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Royal Bobbie | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Island Fox | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Roagna | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sail With the Wind | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | North End Lady | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Bunny Honey | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Second Chance | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bertrille | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lady Jasmine | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bryant and Cooper | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Widdershins | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Capital Gal | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Dream On Cara | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Summer Whirl | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 98 | Crimson Queen | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Vajra | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tennessee Belle | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Immortalize | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Academia | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Come On Get Happy | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Belarosa | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tommy Jo | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lolly Poppin | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Caradise | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alpenglow | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bustin Away | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blamicker | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sir Kartrite | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stewie | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kenny Be | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | On the Hill | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Leo’s Reward | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Roofer | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Very Stormy | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vekinda | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Lake George S. Presented By Surfside) – Lake George S. Presented By Surfside
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Classic Q | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lavender Disaster | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reining Flowers | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Aterradora (IRE) | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Daisy Flyer | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pookie | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Good Long Cry | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Kay Cup | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Princess Attitude | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Play With Fire | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Pretty Lavish (IRE) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Jim Dandy S. Presented By Mohegan Sun) – Jim Dandy S. Presented By Mohegan Sun
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Baeza | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sovereignty | 0.40 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mo Plex | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sandman | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hill Road | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1 | Off Script | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Will of a Womanne | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tahila | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Nonna Lynne | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Night Jasmine | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 9 | Sassetti | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | On a Summer Day | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Starship Pegasus | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Reina Noche | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1A | 11 | Just One More | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Hello Beauty | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2B | 12 | Amazing Gracer | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2C | 13 | Morgana’s Moment | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2X | 14 | Patience N Grace | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Fateful Lightning | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Battle Drum (FR) | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hedge the Risk | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Majestic Michael | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | McHale | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Suspiciously Named | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Captcha | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Got Stripes | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Laird of Magnolia | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Dark Devil | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Freedom Maker | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Nantz | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Majorca | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Ski Bum | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Chucky Our Law | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.