Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
4 |
Our Liberty Belle |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Pistol Liz Ablazen |
6.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
4 |
3 |
Colonial Rose |
1.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
1A |
7 |
Coquito |
3.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1 |
5 |
Whistler’s Style |
3.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
3 |
2 |
Trade Secret |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
2 |
1 |
Shezanarcticqueen |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Backstretch Rose |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Five to Two |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Florida Flower |
2.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Santagata |
10.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Teca |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dolce Sera |
8.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Foxy Cara |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Chalky White |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Royal Guard |
4.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Visible |
12.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Instant Impact |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
11 |
11 |
Tapit’s Legacy |
2.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Olivetti |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Helioo |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Teddy’s Rocket |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Blame Jerry |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Sunrise |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
British Invasion (IRE) |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Art Fair |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Handsome Pants |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bestfriend Rocket |
3.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Conquering Cat |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Joey Muscles |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Just Licorice |
2.50 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Georgia Magic |
4.50 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Mozambique |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Smallchangegeep |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
11 |
11 |
Oath of Omerta |
6.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
1A |
12 |
Nine N Four |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
2 |
Wind Dancer |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Makeyourmoment |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
6 |
Classic Martini |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
5 |
Sunshine Dancer |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
7 |
Cada Dia Mejor |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
1 |
Powered by Coal |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
3 |
Blue Pill |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
4 |
Big Brown Delivers |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
1 |
Keepinitreal |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
6 |
Mission Hill |
15.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
3 |
Inonit |
15.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
5 |
Twohonestmischief |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
1 |
8 |
Alzero |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
3 |
2 |
Solo Jim |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
9 |
10 |
Gamebred |
10.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
8 |
7 |
Crescendo’s Rein |
8.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
5 |
4 |
Long Pour |
5.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
1A |
9 |
Speightful Storm |
8.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Glens Falls S.) – Glens Falls S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Bellezza (IRE) |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
No Show Sammy Jo (GB) |
4.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Long Ago (GB) |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
La Mehana (FR) |
3.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sacaya (FR) |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lady Firefoot |
20.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Dazzlin’ Dictator |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Bernietakescharge |
0.40 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Immensitude (FR) |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Ragtime Sizzle |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Proud Mary |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Speed of Sound |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
River Tay (IRE) |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lady River Lily |
50.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Spun Size |
5.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lookin to Rock |
30.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Party At the Post |
30.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
9 |
9 |
Shesinamood |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
She’s Complicated |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Alpine Giant |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Likely Perspective (IRE) |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Reddington |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cut the Cord |
4.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Capital Idea |
8.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Gamblers Tail |
6.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Warrior Richard |
2.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Pass the Hat |
12.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Magnolia Midnight |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Ennis Town |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Elko County |
8.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Iron Sight |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Policy Change |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
13 |
13 |
Salvation |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
12 |
12 |
Nantz |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Prove |
8.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Starship Titan |
30.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Rebellious Type |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Blast Furnace |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Antietam |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Free Spin |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Atomic Age |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.