Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, July 27, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Our Liberty Belle 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Pistol Liz Ablazen 6.00 1.3 2-1
4 3 Colonial Rose 1.00 2.9 6-1
1A 7 Coquito 3.00 3.9 7-1
1 5 Whistler’s Style 3.00 5 9-1
3 2 Trade Secret 20.00 6 11-1
2 1 Shezanarcticqueen 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Backstretch Rose 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Five to Two 3.50 2.3 4-1
7 7 Florida Flower 2.50 4.4 8-1
2 2 Santagata 10.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Teca 8.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Dolce Sera 8.00 6.4 12-1
4 4 Foxy Cara 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Chalky White 10.00 1 2-1
6 6 Royal Guard 4.50 3.2 6-1
3 3 Visible 12.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Instant Impact 15.00 4.8 9-1
11 11 Tapit’s Legacy 2.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Olivetti 4.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Helioo 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Teddy’s Rocket 3.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Blame Jerry 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Sunrise 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 British Invasion (IRE) 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Art Fair 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Handsome Pants 8.00 3 6-1
2 2 Bestfriend Rocket 3.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Conquering Cat 6.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Joey Muscles 8.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Just Licorice 2.50 6.3 12-1
5 5 Georgia Magic 4.50 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Mozambique 1.80 1 2-1
9 9 Smallchangegeep 8.00 4.4 8-1
11 11 Oath of Omerta 6.00 4.5 9-1
1A 12 Nine N Four 8.00 4.6 9-1
3 2 Wind Dancer 3.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Makeyourmoment 2.50 SCRATCH
7 6 Classic Martini 20.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Sunshine Dancer 8.00 SCRATCH
1 7 Cada Dia Mejor 8.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Powered by Coal 2.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Blue Pill 12.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Big Brown Delivers 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Keepinitreal 1.40 1 2-1
7 6 Mission Hill 15.00 4.1 8-1
4 3 Inonit 15.00 4.1 8-1
6 5 Twohonestmischief 6.00 4.6 9-1
1 8 Alzero 8.00 5.9 11-1
3 2 Solo Jim 8.00 6 11-1
9 10 Gamebred 10.00 7.1 13-1
8 7 Crescendo’s Rein 8.00 8.1 15-1
5 4 Long Pour 5.00 8.4 16-1
1A 9 Speightful Storm 8.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Glens Falls S.) – Glens Falls S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Bellezza (IRE) 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 No Show Sammy Jo (GB) 4.50 3 6-1
5 5 Long Ago (GB) 4.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 La Mehana (FR) 3.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Sacaya (FR) 15.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Lady Firefoot 20.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Dazzlin’ Dictator 6.00 5 9-1
9 9 Bernietakescharge 0.40 SCRATCH
8 8 Immensitude (FR) 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Ragtime Sizzle 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Proud Mary 6.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Speed of Sound 3.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 River Tay (IRE) 8.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Lady River Lily 50.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Spun Size 5.00 5 10-1
1 1 Lookin to Rock 30.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Party At the Post 30.00 8.1 15-1
9 9 Shesinamood 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 She’s Complicated 1.80 SCRATCH
3 3 Alpine Giant 2.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Likely Perspective (IRE) 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Reddington 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Cut the Cord 4.50 1.6 3-1
7 7 Capital Idea 8.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Gamblers Tail 6.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Warrior Richard 2.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Pass the Hat 12.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Magnolia Midnight 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ennis Town 8.00 1 2-1
9 9 Elko County 8.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Iron Sight 5.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Policy Change 10.00 3.8 7-1
13 13 Salvation 6.00 4.1 8-1
12 12 Nantz 10.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Prove 8.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Starship Titan 30.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Rebellious Type 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Blast Furnace 5.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Antietam 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Free Spin 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Atomic Age 4.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.