Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Bank On Big Winner |
1.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Silent Code |
8.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Balboni’s Crew |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Deputy Ghost |
4.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Time Zapper |
3.50 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Fog d’Oro |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Lake Superior S.) – Lake Superior S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Deputy Daddy |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Go Kart Mozart |
1.20 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dark Screen |
3.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Kekoa |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Philip Banks |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Awesome Rainbow |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Little Red Domi |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Veri Gizmo |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Wicked Mercury |
1.80 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tabloid Material |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Super Sicily |
3.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Crumlin Beast |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Home for a Rest |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Deputy Curlin |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Dyna |
6.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Thundermaker |
8.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Gone With Duwyn |
12.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Will Win |
2.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Court |
3.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Awesome Connection |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Found Money |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Shamateur |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Conacher |
1.80 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
You’re So Lucky |
4.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Awe Inspired |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Glintindaddyseye |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Speedy Bulleit |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sol de Verano |
15.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Blondina’s Boy |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Awesome Bourbon |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bankingonamiracle |
12.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
11 |
11 |
Pat’s Gamble |
4.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ready to Collect |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Awesome Crusader |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
British Artillery |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Palace View (IRE) |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
13 |
13 |
Forester’s Fortune |
12.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cotton |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Blast in the Snow |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
9 |
9 |
Mason’s Gamble |
20.00 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ylivoimainen |
20.00 |
10.3 |
19-1 |
12 |
12 |
Stitches |
20.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Wico (IRE) |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Summer Commander |
2.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Yacht Boy |
2.50 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Shadow Realm |
4.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Fifty B M G |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Next Pitch |
20.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Reload’s Rebel |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Cooler Man |
10.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Thunder Bay S.) – Thunder Bay S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Wozniacki |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Rhaenyra |
2.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Suigu Belle |
2.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Brengungirl |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Zippy Gamble |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Silent Sunshine |
20.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sweet Passions |
8.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Silent Strike |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Pink Lloyd S.) – Pink Lloyd S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Junior Hot Shot |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Its Time to Shine |
3.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Light the Lamp |
4.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Hunt Master |
6.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Maakwa |
20.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Last American Exit |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
No More Options |
12.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Perfect Crime |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
One True Gentleman |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Poseidon Steel |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Velociraptor |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Countryboysurvive |
5.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Red Weaver |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
13 |
13 |
Paradise Perfect |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tanist |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Toronto City |
20.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Pipers Reign |
15.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lover Boy Mo |
30.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Paynes Spirit |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
12 |
12 |
Total Sensation |
10.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
11 |
11 |
Silent Knight |
20.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
10 |
10 |
Fine Style |
30.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
5 |
5 |
Artifrac |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.