Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | St. John’s | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hidden Path | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1A | 8 | St James the Great | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brie’s Mission | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Holey Moley | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Strike | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sa’ad (FR) | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Memento (FR) | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mitole’s Girl | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Embraceable Gal | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | True Empress | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Racing Colors | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stone Smuggler | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Army Gal | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Stirred Up | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Laughing Lady | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sunset Sizzle | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chocolatechocolate | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Contract Law | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tizallmine | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Snide | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Corruption | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Master Piece (CHI) | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bourbon Day | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fuerteventura | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Summer Cause | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Otello | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hush of a Storm | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Discotheque | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fiddling Felix | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Noguchi | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Red Sea | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Career Risk | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | V Cruizer | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fleeting Free | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | White Whale | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Street Sue | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Snow Face Princess | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blanchett | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Actis | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mackinac | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sharp Mindset | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lima Lima | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pisces Moon | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Pie Phi | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Whatarewedoing | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Bet the Gray | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Keto Drink | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Santina | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cognoscenti | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Salted Carmel | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | War Officer | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brigade Commander | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kigali | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dillinger | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Outtawaterbury | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | The Paddock Pastor | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Arctic Outbreak | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Golden Purchase | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Hero’s Medal | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Swaggish | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Eric From Miami | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Johnstone S.) – Johnstone S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | My Mane Squeeze | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dolomite | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cupid’s Heart | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sterling Silver | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Caldwell Luvs Gold | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Tricky Temper | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Return | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Landed | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Bernietakescharge | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Cara’s Time | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Maggy’s Palace | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 9 | Good Mission | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kyla’s Kause | 1.60 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Miss Uproar | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Froghollowsummer | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Fifi La Fume | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Hattie Carroll | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Gorgeous | 50.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Gracie Girl | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ipsus | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Rare Society | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1X | 12 | Nittardi | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 5 | Gattatiz | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.