Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sorrento Sky (IRE) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Boss Sully | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Virat | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sumter | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Daniel’s Magic | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Very Quiet | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Moroni | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. A. P. | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dirty Rich | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bella’s Bro | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Forty Seven | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Atomic Drop | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Law Abiding | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | So I’m Told | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Druidic | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Super Ellie | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mongolian Apple | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Uncharted | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Contrary Chieftain | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | McClusky | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Oobubbakakayo | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Zimba Warrior | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Violences Ohr | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ready to Dare | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Rider | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eastwick | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Snoozeulose | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Whoosh | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Severe Clear | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Siempre Naman | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Beauty Jenny | 20.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mini Again | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Union Heiress | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Reckless Optimism | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Kikuride | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Princesa Del Tigre | 5.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Quantum Innergy | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Breve | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Elegant Sway | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | True Patriot | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sand to Sea | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stay in Line | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | O K Rose | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Amanda Rose | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Garden Party | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Shezmisbehaving | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Lady Lithesome | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Broadway Venus | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lady of Sky | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Thirsty Trickster | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Liquid Spirit | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Cioppina Pasadina | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Knightwithlouis | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Maria Tallchief | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | How About Pavel | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | We the Free | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Thirsty Destiny | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Sensational Z Z | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Recycleyourheart | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | A Kitten for Sue | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 13 | Devine Marina | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 98 | Saint Mihiel | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Rugelach | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hopeful (GB) | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Runamileinmyshoes | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Paradise Lake | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Baltic Fire | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Vibez | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Paris Secret (IRE) | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Johanny | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Circle of Trust | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Candy Bar | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Valence | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Sakura Blossom | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Certitude (FR) | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Royal Charter (GB) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Pio Nono | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lord Dunmore | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Horizon Wildcat | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Make It a Large | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Eagles Dare | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tee N Off | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Betheguynotthatguy | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Harbor Code | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Smoothwhskygoindwn | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Victory Cat | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Crossrighthands | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Non Domicile | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 98 | Ya’ll Come | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 98 | Ragazzone | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.