Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | The Obliterator | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Minorinconvenience | 10.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Twirling Lad | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Force | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Verbinden | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Caroline St. Beat | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Honoree | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Wazey’s Charm | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Stickupwithoutagun | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dolce Vino | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Believe in Magic | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Choppin Brockley | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Valala | 2.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gigi Cake’s | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Scorch | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Just a Click | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Whatarewedoing | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Caitlins Threes | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Probable Choice | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Oscar’s Encore | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Raynham Hall | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Devilish Grin | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Imperia Blue | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Great Actress | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Delver | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | D’s a Rock | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sassy Shenanigans | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Maxaluna | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Orient | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beaches and Pearls | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cha Cha Wren | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | That’s Funny | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sailaway | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Carolina Smokeshow | 0.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blue Eyed Scout | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Spirit of Esther | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Rock Harbor | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | That’sthefactjack | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Brooklyn Dantz | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Handle On You | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Freud’s Fancy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sushi | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Devine One | 1.40 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Roseberns Dream | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cosmic Candy Girl | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Zelena | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Flying Phoebe | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 10 | Maria Callas | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Ryan Elizabeth | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Miss Magical | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Neshika | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ty Ty Rose | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Grazie | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cara’s Dreamchaser | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Back to Khali | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big Heleonora | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tuthilltown | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Encantar | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Run On States | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Bank Street | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Avery’s Wonderland | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Credit Risk | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 12 | Elegant | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Moon Gate | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Geez Eloise | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | City Blocks | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Thirteen Red Flags | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Linarite | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Quick Power Nap | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Numero Seis | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 9 | Bourbon Serengeti | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Beautiful Crazy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Madeline’s Promise | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Midnightloveaffair | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 9 | Bold Endeavor | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Khafre | 1.60 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 8 | Winter’s Ghost | 1.40 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Aula | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Royal Tryst | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Centavo | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Wild Banker | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Tiz a Beast | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Strong Light | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Commandperformance | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (John Morrissey S.) – John Morrissey S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Whatchatalkinabout | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bank Frenzy | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | The Wine Steward | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Doc Sullivan | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Light Man | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sheriff Bianco | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shadow Dragon | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cicciobello | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Caldo Candy | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wynstock | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jackson Heights | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Quick to Accuse | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Dr. Kraft | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Broadway Lights | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Sweet Dutchess | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Always Practical | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stamp of Approval | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bread to Run | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 14 | Soundbite | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | She’s Cool | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | La Grotte | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Pallotta Sisters | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Margaux Treasure | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Sassy Princess | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Dynamic Actress | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Annelle | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Duboff | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.