Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Exington | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Upcharge | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Time to Shine | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | No Other Like You | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Giggle Giggle | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Double Cappuccino | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | One Step Beyond | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mr. Pippins | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Surf Ranger | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Cardenas | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Daddy Bigbucks | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Blazing Heat | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Marcos Performance | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Rebel Nation | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Jimmy Delivers | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Morro Morro | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 98 | Just a Little Bit | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Arkadelphia | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Proletariat | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | B G Bullet | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rich Night | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sendit Mo | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | In the Mix | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Monumental | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Madame Secretary | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Howin | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lolo Le Plume | 10.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Shared Future | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Epione | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Catalina Cocktail | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sugar Hi | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 98 | Shezmisbehaving | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ro Town | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Empress Ellie | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Port Ellen (IRE) | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Illhaveanotherkiss | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dea Matrona (FR) | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Corporal Violette (IRE) | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ultimate Hy | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Highlands | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Asian Matriarch | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vronsky Feint | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Real Good Deal S.) – Real Good Deal S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Western Freedom | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Drop Um | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shea Brennan | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Speedy Wilson | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Style Cat | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Check’s On the Way | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Last Call Zondlo | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Keithing Thunder | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Vodka Vodka | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Bill | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Curlin Command | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bonneville Jim | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shapoval | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | High King | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Keep Dancin Nick | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Regarding Harry | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Irish Element | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mav Man | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Maxville | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Bazooka Charlie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Zagreus | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Benny’s Puzzle | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Vegas Love | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Stellar Cap | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Danzing Cat | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Good Trouble | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | I’m a Risque Girl | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fun to Run | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | One Arrow | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ryder’s Candy | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ryan’s Girl | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Rythem Girl | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Buds N Suds | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dallas Alice | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Misty Muppet | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Blue Fashion | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.