Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Recognize Me | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Penny Polka | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ruxton Rocks | 15.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dubstep | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mikey’s Jewel | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Beachgrass | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Peace Fire | 2.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Issano | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Inmortal J | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grand Avila | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Speedy Alex | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chase a Dream | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Phil’s On the Run | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Hoppetosse | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Our Day Will Come | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Coloma | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz the Great | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mose Smokin | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Paynted Lion | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tyrus | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Baby Bobby | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | No More Calls | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Vignon Manor | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Runaway Rooster | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Swifty Devil | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Magic Spin | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Runyonesque | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Borracho | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Backnthewoods | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Don’t Wait Up | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Little Lance | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Johnnyfrenchfri | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fitness | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Classicals Finale | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tesoro Rossa | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Indy’s Universe | 2.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mishka | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Why Not Grace | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Power and Glory | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Blonde Samaritan | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Learning to Fly | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Tapwrit Warrior | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Like a Dream | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Centeya | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | A Shawtown Girl | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Spooky Gal | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Uncle Money | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fear Nothing | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ben’s Hero | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Carnaby | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Otter Creek | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Let’s Have a Party | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ellinger | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Kid Syd | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Expecting a Winner | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Morgs World | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Peyton Elizabeth | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Arijana’s Pearl | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Cahira’s Song | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Conch Fried Rice | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Forest Acclamation | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Krone | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Golden Rocket | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Urban Star | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Martynas’ Joy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Can Do | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Dynamic Actress | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Intrepid Mo | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bee Bluff | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alyvia Mavis | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chillow | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Found Grace | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Trick of the Light | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Eskenforave and Ak | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vamonos Chicas | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.