Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Friday, August 1, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Whatarewedoing 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Joe G Twentythree 10.00 2 4-1
1 1 One More Freud 1.80 2.2 4-1
2 2 Moneybags Milton 3.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Caitlins Threes 6.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Imperia Blue 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Wolfie’s Dynaghost 0.80 1 2-1
5 5 Signator 4.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Money Supply 4.50 3.2 6-1
3 3 Goldeneye 3.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Prevent 10.00 5 9-1
8 8 Film Star 3.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Awesome Aaron 1.80 SCRATCH
7 7 Disarm 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Gone and Forgotten 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Mercy Warren 1.80 2 4-1
2 2 It Takes Heart 3.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Speak Softly 4.50 4.1 8-1
6 6 Altered Shot 12.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 April Antics 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Connect the Stars 6.00 1 2-1
4 3 Blue Madame 5.00 2.7 5-1
5 4 Scratch It 10.00 3.1 6-1
3 2 Hurricane Creek 8.00 3.3 6-1
1 5 Miss Picky 8.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Smart Sugar 15.00 4.2 8-1
1A 11 Uncatchable 8.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Grazie Prego 12.00 4.9 9-1
11 12 So Vain 2.50 SCRATCH
10 10 The Grumpy Rabbit 6.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Americathegreat 3.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Tax Holiday (GB) 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Kadena 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Fortuna Mia 1.80 2.3 4-1
2 2 She’s Complicated 4.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Twirling Good Time 3.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Margaux Treasure 12.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Aunt Yola 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Express Lane 15.00 1 2-1
6 6 Intricate Spirit 5.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Turf Star 3.50 3.8 7-1
3 3 Brass Nucks 20.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Mount Sopris 12.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Supreme Good (IRE) 20.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Brooklyn Styles 8.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Freestate 10.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Oscar’s Hope 2.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Schwarzenegger 1.20 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (National Museum Of Racing Hall Of Fame S.) – National Museum Of Racing Hall Of Fame S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Zulu Kingdom (IRE) 1.20 1 2-1
1 1 Mi Bago 8.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Clever Again 6.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Luther (GB) 3.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Tank 8.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Tiz Dashing 15.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Maui Strong 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Out On Bail 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 McAfee 1.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Omaha Pistol 3.00 1 2-1
12 12 Sanzio 15.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Army Proud 2.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Allofasuddenlee 6.00 2 4-1
9 9 Come Full Circle 12.00 4.3 8-1
11 11 Kismeholdmethrlme 20.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Renew the Blue 30.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Uncle Barrie 30.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 The Saint 10.00 5.8 11-1
13 13 Solomini’s Legacy 30.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 Monomoys Partner 50.00 6.6 13-1
5 5 Aetherium 15.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 American Litigator 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 3 Shefflin 1.60 1 2-1
1A 6 Chess Master 1.60 1.4 3-1
10 11 Chiringo 4.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Hilarious Affair 10.00 3.2 6-1
6 7 Fluid Situation 6.00 3.6 7-1
8 9 Cloudy 6.00 3.8 7-1
9 10 Heaven Street 20.00 5.2 10-1
3 2 Vinsanity 15.00 5.7 11-1
7 8 Java Buzz 15.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Whenlovetakesover 30.00 9.2 17-1
11 12 Kunshan Bridge 3.50 SCRATCH
2 1 Outlaw Country 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Competitive Threat (IRE) 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Leslie’s Star 2.50 2.4 4-1
4 4 Life Advice 4.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Loveumissumeanit 8.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Adrian 12.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Twirly 6.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Luckforyou 30.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Saucy Six 50.00 6.2 12-1
11 11 Best Impression 3.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Queen Atlas 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Aviso 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.