Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Blinging It Back | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Tagermeen | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Criteria | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ambassador Blue | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 8 | Abrigado | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Grittiness | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Legal Gambit | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Ted Noffey | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Whiskey Point | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Orbit | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Signatory Man (IRE) | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | A Million Dreams | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Souper Caliber | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Capital Partner (GB) | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Prodigious | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sunrise | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Blame Jerry | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | British Invasion (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Joinder | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Noble Dynasty | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Likeness | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Honey’s to Blame | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Saratoga Special S.) – Saratoga Special S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Obliteration | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ewing | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Camigol | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Thunder Chuck | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Comport | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Dazzle d’Oro | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Xy Speed | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Run Curtis Run | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Clear the Air | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Final Verdict | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Twisted Filigree | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Antares | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bonus Move | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bergen | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Maya Prince | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Marcus Gift | 30.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mister Mmmmm | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 12 | Acoustic Ave | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 13 | War Stride | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 14 | What’s Up Bro | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 15 | Factually Correct | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 16 | Eliminate | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lost and Found | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Sherrona | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ivory and Ebony | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Delightful Claire | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Champagne Brunch | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Endorse | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Contorted | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Putonahappyface | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Metfardeh | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bolt House | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Schematic | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Cadenza | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Prime Connection | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Steer Clear | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ornellaia | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Fletch’s Rockette | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Final Accord | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 9 | Immaculate Moon | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Solemn Vow | 3.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Alpenglow | 12.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Germantown | 12.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | One More Guitar | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Creditworthy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Speak Easy | 10.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Goodasiwonswas | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hold My Bourbon | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Echo Again | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ridgewood Runner | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dilger (IRE) | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Barksdale | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Classic Legacy | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pentathlon | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Awesome Ruta | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Dolly’s Bank | 50.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Twenty Four Mamba | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Unclecharliesgift | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Jefferson Street | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Fanduel Fourstardave S.) – Fanduel Fourstardave S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Johannes | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spirit of St Louis | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Win for the Money | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Deterministic | 4.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Think Big | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Boy Prince | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Intellect (FR) | 5.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cugino | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lagynos | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Neat | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Saratoga Derby Invitational S.) – Saratoga Derby Invitational S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Test Score | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Final Gambit | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hotazhell (GB) | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | World Beater | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiztastic | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | New Century (GB) | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tiberius Thunder (IRE) | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Juwelier (IRE) | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Capitol Hill | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Test S. Presented By Ticketmaster) – Test S. Presented By Ticketmaster
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ragtime | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Echo Sound | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kilwin | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Look Forward | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Me and Molly McGee | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cash Call | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Artisma | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Beauty Reigns | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Whitney S.) – Whitney S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sierra Leone | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fierceness | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Skippylongstocking | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Highland Falls | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Post Time | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | White Abarrio | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Disarm | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mama’s Gold | 50.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Contrary Thinking | 50.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mindframe | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | She’s Got Will | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | La Salvadorena | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Thiene (IRE) | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tales of The Heart (IRE) | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Perfect Figure | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Leslie’s Humor | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Granka | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Being Betty | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Masterof the Tunes | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Soloshot | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Likely Perspective (IRE) | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Sandy’s Garden | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Upon a Star | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Sarir | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Caribbean Wind | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Chatter | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 13 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Twolatebabydoll (FR) | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Just So Pretty | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Say Yes To Dreams (IRE) | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Magnum’s Microbrst | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Just One More | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Selfless | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | All Night Revival | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Peak Hype | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Resurge | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Medici Road | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Via Veneto | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Coastal Cabin | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Mildred Pierce | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Hello Beauty | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | All the Feels | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Bint Al Dandy (IRE) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.