Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, August 3, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 B D Saints 5.00 1 2-1
2 2 Six Kings 3.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Ready to Reign 20.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Stjames 15.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Masterwork 30.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Solo Empire 5.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Baron of Sealand 0.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Natural Shooter 5.00 1 2-1
1A 3 Essentially Fast 10.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 B Raging On 10.00 1.7 3-1
2 6 Rare Eclipse 4.00 3 6-1
3 2 Johnny’s Red Storm 2.50 3.4 6-1
7 8 Capanaparo 5.00 4 8-1
1 1 Rumblyoungmanrumbl 10.00 4 8-1
8 9 Knocking Luck 12.00 4.1 8-1
6 7 Two Ducks 4.00 4.5 9-1
2B 10 Escape Hall 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Ten Cent Town 2.50 1 2-1
6 7 Rithm Nic 6.00 1.3 2-1
5 6 Confabulation 4.50 1.4 3-1
4 4 Call Me Fast 8.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Riyadh Moon 6.00 3.2 6-1
8 9 Hero’s Medal 8.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Celestial Glaze 4.00 4.1 8-1
7 8 Jack’s Promise 10.00 5.5 10-1
1A 5 Notah 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Adirondack S.) – Adirondack S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mythical 0.80 1 2-1
4 4 Tiz in Sight 8.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Meringue 10.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Angel Gift 6.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Spa Prospector 10.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Iron Orchard 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bint Al Dandy (IRE) 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 American Debutante (IRE) 4.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 Cliffs 3.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Hello Beauty 6.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Channel Check (GB) 6.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 All the Feels 15.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Time Stone 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 War Siren (FR) 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Louise Procter (FR) 3.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Collaboration 4.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Vino Rouge 2.50 3 6-1
8 8 Celtic Charm 4.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Can’t Fool Me 15.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Any Port 12.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Fast and Frisky 3.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Letstalkaboutme 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Meursault 1.60 SCRATCH
11 11 Low Key 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Vettriano 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Aggelos the Great 4.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Keewaydin 5.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Northern Chill 10.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Midland Money 3.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 G T Five Hundred 8.00 4 8-1
9 9 Private Desire 15.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Executive Order 20.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Doroteo 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Troy S.) – Troy S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Alogon 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Bring Theband Home 0.60 1.7 3-1
1 1 Determined Kingdom 15.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Senbei 8.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Twenty Six Black 10.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Our Shot 12.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Let My People Go 10.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Full Moon Madness 1.40 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Gene and Jude 12.00 1 2-1
1 2 Hamilton’s Way 2.00 2 4-1
6 7 Back in the Saddle 4.00 2 4-1
5 6 Jhirsch 8.00 3.3 6-1
4 5 Sky Masterson 20.00 3.4 6-1
2 1 Fayette Spirit 15.00 3.7 7-1
7 8 Willintoriskitall 5.00 4 8-1
9 10 Desperate Proposal 3.50 4.3 8-1
1A 4 Iron Max 2.00 5.3 10-1
10 11 Senegal 4.00 SCRATCH
8 9 Patrick’s Promise 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Takeschargesmiling 12.00 1 2-1
5 5 Funny Joke 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Joking Way 6.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Tetsu 6.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Gatsby 1.80 3.4 6-1
10 10 Camp David 5.00 4.2 8-1
11 11 Allure of Money 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Bold Victory 12.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Cumberland Blues 15.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Sin Nombre 30.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Forward Move 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.