Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lil Sebastian | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crabcakes N Beer | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Skinny Joey | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Yes Point | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sir Banana Brian | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Lucky Luke | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bear Hunt | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blackwater Falls | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bollo de Crema | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bond’s Belle | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | South Pacific | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Summer Love | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wild Girl | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alma Pura | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Amorica | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Padrino’s Gold | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ribbonsinherhair | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pure Magic Girl | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Judith’s Cross | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Voodoo Priestess | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Missy Boss | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fashionista | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Step Lightly | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Louezza | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Thula | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Minister Confessor | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rose Room | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Halo Hottie | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Autonome | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Go Mischievous | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Camber | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | In the Biz | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Stress Reliever | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mad for Maddy | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Meg’s Foxy Grey | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Volatility | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gourmet | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beautiful Blome | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Ellary | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Aaraj | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grey Streak | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Johnnyfrenchfri | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dance for Green | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pentatonic | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mean Tweets | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Remarkable Mo | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tall Order | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Magical Mondays | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dalinar | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crabs N Beer | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pappy’s Revenge | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Stellar Lute | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sam Stormy | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Elusive Image | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Smithwick’s Spice | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Bestsugardaddyever | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | War Master | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Secret Zipper | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Stormy Flight | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Whizbang | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Spikezone | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Golden Candy | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Paradise Valley | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Brother Conway | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Karan’s Notion | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nancy Made My Day | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Play Harder | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Practical Coach | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Living Water | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Full Irish | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dunphy | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Man Woody | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Leonids | 5.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Disturbed | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.