Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Cowboy Mike | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Del Mar Jerry | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Father Delay | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shortman | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Moose Mitchell | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ghazaaly | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Caitlin Fever | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vinalia (GB) | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wildfire Princess | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Heads in Beds (FR) | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Judith | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tupelo | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blame Eve | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Baela | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gigi’s Girl | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Miracle Ball | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Pop | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shes Just Fluffy | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Moochie Girl | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Queen Girvin | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smiling Amy | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Throwthefirstpunch | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | He’s a Knockout | 1.60 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Off the Bench | 8.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fair Question | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Almost There | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kiki Ride | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Convergence | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mojo Mo | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Still Bulletproof | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Mystic Moses | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Eye of the Smiley | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Jalisco | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Max Ciao | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tommy Norris | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moonshiner | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Southern Melodee | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Forever Ben | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Another Bulleit | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pavel’s Treasure | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | World News | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fumano’s Magic | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Crazy Cavalier | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Unrivaled Hero | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hamlin | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Djoser | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Irish Whiskey | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brother Brother | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Makutu | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Poor Connection | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cagey Burglar | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beach Hero | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Graduation S.) – Graduation S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hero Or Zero | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fionello | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sammy Davis | 1.80 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Trump Era | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | What’s a Good Name | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Desert Dawg | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Princess Snow | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Word Play (GB) | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cameron Slough | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mayacama | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Oveta’s Hobby | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dorie Miller | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tiaraqueen (GB) | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | She’s Splendid | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Meagher (IRE) | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wits and Wagers | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.