Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mi Mitole Girl | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nipsey | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Running Hot | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lily Dash A | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Princess Honor | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Practical Vale | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shaboujee | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Poccetti | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bayou Brigid | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Willy Nilly | 2.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Soothsayer | 3.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Brown Diamond | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Serenity Path | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | That Police | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Adsila | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Remember | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Velvet Rage | 8.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Mardel Mariel | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Perplexed | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Mi Amada | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | She’s Trippin | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Caura | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Khoolzan | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Baroquen Record | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fredericksburg | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bullet Blues | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Last Shall B First | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flat Cap | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | El Mayo | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lady Chance | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Love Like Lucy | 1.20 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Decisive Maiara | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vita Mia | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Dream Lady | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grand Threat | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Soda | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Nate the Great | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Clear Destination | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Belly of Jelly | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Speed Control | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Baytown Parfait | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cosmic Speculation | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ironsides | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Drunken Sailor | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mintenon | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Valiant Winter | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Captain Eddie | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Risk Factor | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Four Beach Friends | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | G Speedy | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gators Reign | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lightning Dust | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ellagio | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mean to Me | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Evanora | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kiss Cam | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brenna | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Just Take Notes | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | For the Thrill | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Smile Po | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ihaveissues | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blond Jak | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Back to Gridlock | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Garuda | 1.80 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Candy Buzz | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bianka Heart | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bottomless Mimosa | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Breezey Z | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chosen Factor | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Playa Azul | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Diamond’s Honor | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blazing Affair | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tree C’s Kai | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Motown Omi | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.