Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Max Money | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | World Wide Web | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Running On Bourbon | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Napoleon Solo | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fin Del Mundo | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Moon On Fire | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Neigh Baby | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hong Kong Phooey | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Alexis Zorba (GB) | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Billionaires Row | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Epitaph | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Film Academy | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Global Prosperity | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fly’n Frisbee | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Tactical Trackstar | 0.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Maybern | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Beach Ballad | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mappy | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fraudster | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Deep Learning | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Well Shaken | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bisclavret | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Social Scene (GB) | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pampered | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sweet Little Lila (IRE) | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fancy Footwork | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Ginger Ale | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Valenzan Day | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tiberius Mercurius | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Winter’s Ghost | 1.40 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | He’s Got This | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Midnight Trouble | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Whenlovetakesover | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Centavo | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Brew Pub | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lawyer Mason | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Diliello | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Big Brooklyn | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Truman’s Commander | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Constant Chaos | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chummers | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Make a Prediction | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Daisy Doo | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Arctic Beast | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Cristobal | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Moonlight Drive | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Three Thirteen | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Takahama | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | King of Fog | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bod Beach | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Empires King | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Funny Factor | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tactics | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Aye Eye | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Escape Hall | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jolted | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hoosick Falls | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Perretti (IRE) | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Salamis | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Blast Furnace | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Apalta | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Presence | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Disclaimer | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Hero Code | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Prariedale | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Duration | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 9 | Peak Performer | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Ballston Spa S.) – Ballston Spa S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ozara (IRE) | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | No Mo Candy | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ocean Club | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Whiskey Decision | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Deep Satin | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Edict (ARG) | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Maggie Go (ARG) | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Freedom Speaks | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Amanda’s Folly | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Bernietakescharge | 0.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Just Music | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Be Your Best (IRE) | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Uncle Jim | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Consider It Done | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Backtrack | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Three B’s | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Empire | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tapwrits Temper | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Storm the Streets | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Johny’s Rendezvous | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Antietam | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Snare | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Maki Monarchy | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wicked Improbable | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Favorable Scenario | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Uncle’s Gold | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Free Spin | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Worthy Charge | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Salvation | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Dragoneer | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.