Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Carroll Girl | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Date Night Kisses | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chelsea Wall | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Penny Polka | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Amy Mule | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lachicafortequila | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Faytastic | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Nohai | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Electrica | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Estrellis | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Bolt | 20.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet and Feisty | 8.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | My Lady Bae | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bella Creed | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fontabelle | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Savannah Georgia | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Affirmed Blessing | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Centre Court Champ | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Edge of Town | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wise Miss | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bella Queen | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I’m a Cutie Pie | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Party | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Charm | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Like a Dream | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pretty Thing (IRE) | 1.40 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Aranciata | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Empire’s Treat | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Why Not Grace | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Qualified Hire | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Midway Vow | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Te Amo | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Holy Kingdom | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Tapwrit Warrior | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Major Mayhem | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | First Pearl | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | You’re the One | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hot Fudge Warrior | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Old Bay | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | M J’s Yoshida | 12.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Green Eyed Monster | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Maida | 1.80 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Plinko Chip | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | True Phenomenon | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Centeya | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sea Shanty | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Learning to Fly | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Classicals Finale | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Indy’s Universe | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Honorable Chill | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Michaela | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blonde Samaritan | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | La de Peluche | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Princess Clemmie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | D’oro Road | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Yahoo Omar | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Byk | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Heard On Thestreet | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Boy Magic | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Smooth Flyin Mike | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chipotle | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Excitable Boy | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Expensive Cut | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Afraidofthebunny | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Epic Luck | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | One Way Farrior | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Your Analysis | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sundaeswithsandy | 2.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Waldrip | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.