Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden) – Maiden
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Favorite Contessa | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Monday Disastur | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jv Gray Panther | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Badd Kat | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dr a Political Sign | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zz Relentless | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Uno Dos Tres Seis | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Apolitical Seis | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Featherinmycapi | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | P Fifty One | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Behold a Dynasty | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jesstrong Corona | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kandoit | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | I Know You Know | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Frans Dynasty | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Apollitical Menace | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Relentless Summer | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cotton Candy Sunset | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sfs Emma Sies | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Candy Celebration | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Full Victory | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Red River | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Just Pickles | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | City Time | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Days in Dublin (IRE) | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Royal and Ready | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Spirit’s Mischief | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Call Me Ice Man | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Annual Budget | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Freddy J | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Absolute Chaos | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bolt Forty Five | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Meeker | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Steely Eye | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | No Free Kisses | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fallen Star | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Greasepaintgroucho | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I Like It Black | 3.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Myjerseysaysgood | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Witch Waydidhego | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Paddyofromtokyo | 2.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | War Boy | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sir Wally | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bright Journey | 3.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flat Sprout | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Day Boss | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kiowa Warrior | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Outmatch | 4.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Crux | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Raymond | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Charter Oak | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Axel Steel | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flipping Fish | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Santa Cruiser | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Permafrost | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Cyclones H.) – Cyclones H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ain’t Life Grand | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Amorosa | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tee Off Time | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Seventeen Black | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Specialsortastorm | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rockin the Dad Bod | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Finish Up | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dixie One | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wicked Hot Foot | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Promised Oath | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smokin’ Nancy | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Canadian Jane | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Native Queen | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Higher Path | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.