Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Nucleus | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Royalamerican | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | West of Town | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lyman | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pontotoc | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pass the Roses | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Photoshopped | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Leavenodoubt | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | How About Bob | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lightsoutscarlett | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Majestic Bay | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Razors Edge | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Higinia | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Closdatgate | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Irish Writ | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Country Vision | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stir Up Desire | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | That Being Said | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Lea Me Be | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wartime Hero | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Clements Ride | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cousin Larry | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tigers ‘n Bears | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Once Upon a Dream | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | B Minor | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Buckin Again | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Touchdown Oklahoma | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Buck Lake | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lincolns Brisket | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I’m Alive | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wrinkle Road | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Isaidwhatisaid | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Runaway Okie | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Mozetti | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Balmorhea | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Arsonist | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wild Steel | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fineness | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chicks Night Out | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wauneka | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Town Hero | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Follow the Star | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Get Dreamy | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Drama King | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Awol | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bill | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kamparri | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Wish Man | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Quarrymen | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chasing Coyotes | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Great Runner | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Touch Of Glam (ARG) | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cloudy Past | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cupid’s Thunder | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Banterra | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Faith Alone | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tx Women for Arts | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Phunk | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Coin Purse | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Accelerate Judy | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bali Girlee | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | My Kinda Trouble | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cajun Doll | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Libbies Baby | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Witch Way Gray | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gypsy Rose | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Okie Bling | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shopping Accident | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Neutralize | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.