Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, August 9, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 What’s Up Bro 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 I’m Wide Awake 1.80 1.3 2-1
6 6 Factually Correct 8.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Yo Banana Boy 4.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Dear Chairman 6.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Trust Fund 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Rivalry 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Ride Up 5.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Glint 2.50 2.7 5-1
6 6 Shipman 10.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Hours in a Day 5.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Just Clarity 6.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 King Moonracer 15.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Dads Good Runner 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Charlottesuniverse 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Miami Style 6.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 Trading Trouble 2.50 1.2 2-1
2 2 Run On States 6.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 My Boston Beauty 10.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Hanna’s Hideaway 8.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Fancy Lights 4.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Probable Choice 30.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Bickerton 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 White Palomino 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Walley World 6.00 1.4 3-1
9 9 Common Defense 6.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Laurel Valley 8.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Be of Courage 3.50 2.4 4-1
8 8 Pancake House 12.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Sesame Seed Bagel 20.00 5 9-1
7 7 Taraj (IRE) 6.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Jurisprudence 8.00 6.3 12-1
11 11 Chileno 2.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Notah 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Dr. Kraft 3.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Get a Job 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Frizzante 8.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Who’s the King 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Amundson 1.60 1 2-1
1A 4 Looms Boldly 1.60 2.4 5-1
5 6 Great Richie M 3.00 3 6-1
4 5 Forgiving Spirit 6.00 3.5 7-1
7 8 Show Time 5.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Fitzpatrick 10.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Muazarah 12.00 6.3 12-1
8 9 Honorary Degree 30.00 6.5 12-1
9 10 Stop the Spread 30.00 8.2 16-1
6 7 Thrill of It 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 5 Handsome Linc 5.00 1 2-1
3 2 Glorious Boy 15.00 3.6 7-1
2 1 Oscar’s Hope 3.50 4.2 8-1
8 9 Sassmaster 3.00 4.3 8-1
7 8 Senior Lender 6.00 4.5 8-1
4 3 Stone County 10.00 4.8 9-1
5 6 Igniter 15.00 5.2 10-1
6 7 Golden Tornado 2.50 5.3 10-1
1 4 Mailata 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Exact Estimate 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Itsallcomintogetha 6.00 1.3 3-1
6 6 Depiction 3.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Gilded Craken 10.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Magical Ways 12.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Resilience 4.50 4.5 8-1
9 9 Daunt 12.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Tut’s Revenge 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Sky’s Not Falling 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Whittington Park 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Locke and Key 4.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Drake’s Passage 3.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Treaty Obligation 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Little Ni 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Damon’s Mound 2.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Maximus Meridius 6.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Surveillance 4.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Twisted Ride 12.00 2 4-1
7 7 Nova Rags 6.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Squire Creek 50.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Light the Way 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Fasig-tipton Saratoga Oaks Invitational S.) – Fasig-tipton Saratoga Oaks Invitational S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Laurelin (IRE) 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Go Go Boots (GB) 3.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Opulent Restraint (IRE) 2.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Totally Justified 6.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Sigh No More (IRE) 8.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Evershed (IRE) 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Resorts World Casino Sword Dancer S.) – Resorts World Casino Sword Dancer S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Far Bridge 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Nations Pride (IRE) 3.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Rebel Red (GB) 8.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Utah Beach 8.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 El Cordobes (IRE) 4.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Vote No 15.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 El Rezeen 15.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Padiddle 30.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Grand Sonata 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Alyeska 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Artemis Sound 6.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Limes Don’t Lie 5.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Next On Stage 4.50 4.1 8-1
5 5 Chatter 6.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Whocouldaskformo 8.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Street View 15.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Practical Lov 3.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Fidelightcayut 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Amplitude 2.50 1.1 2-1
1 1 Skyler’s Starship 20.00 1.3 2-1
9 9 Ortus 10.00 2 4-1
5 5 El de Larry 4.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Terminal Velocity 6.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Charles J 5.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Tony O 30.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 A Lister 30.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Findaname 50.00 7.9 15-1
11 11 Hit the Post 1.40 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.