Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
3 |
Chillax |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Momentum Files |
4.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
4 |
Roger Roger |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
2 |
Fun to Tap |
3.50 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
1A |
8 |
Worthy Charge |
2.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Party With Smarty |
30.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
1 |
5 |
Peak Performer |
2.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
2 |
1 |
Limo |
8.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Le Gris |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
First of His Name |
6.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Timaeus |
8.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Leftembehind |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Who’s the King |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Mr. Ripple |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Solo Empire |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Tap to Mischief |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Waralo |
2.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
After Taxes (IRE) |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Innate (IRE) |
4.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Irish Gent (IRE) |
3.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Great Lilo |
10.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Kunshan Bridge |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Marcus Gift |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Caribbean Wind |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Voila Magic |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Epic Desire |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Final Score |
2.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Heeere’s Johnny |
3.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Time to Strike |
5.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Boss Henry |
4.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Golden Rule |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Spherical |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Positive Equity |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Essential Coffee |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Carmel Coast |
5.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Memorized |
3.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lovely Christina |
4.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
So Vain |
2.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Everytimeithinkofu |
20.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Karey |
20.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Quiddity |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Spirit of the Law |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Makeyourmoment |
6.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ragazzo d’Oro |
10.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Arch’s Assault |
5.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Powered by Coal |
4.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Pretrial Statement |
15.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
The Craftsman |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Big Brown Delivers |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sunshine Dancer |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Rossbeigh |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Classic Martini |
50.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
13 |
13 |
Prince of Dance |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Wind Dancer |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
God Given |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Desert Power |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Blue Pill |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
1 |
My Two Sophia’s |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
2 |
Cdakhat (IRE) |
12.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
8 |
7 |
Five to Two |
4.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
9 |
11 |
Valentine Gift |
5.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
5 |
3 |
Dashing Della |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2B |
9 |
Harlan’s Bond |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
1A |
10 |
Moonlit Weekend |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
6 |
5 |
Dream On Cara |
8.00 |
5 |
10-1 |
1 |
4 |
Danneel |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
6 |
Santagata |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
8 |
Rodeo Star |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Rabaja |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Slapintheface |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Conman |
2.00 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Russian Realm |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ocala Dream |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
American Grant |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mo Trump |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Neural Network |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Coinage |
10.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Cable Ready |
30.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
14 |
14 |
Whittington Park |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Pineapple Man |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Cut the Cord |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Mighty Atlas |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Crimson Light |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Mahony S.) – Mahony S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Governor Sam |
1.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Gabaldon |
8.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ancient World |
10.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ortley Avenue (IRE) |
10.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Innovator |
12.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
No Evidence |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Spiced Up |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Jet Sweep Joe |
20.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Saturday Flirt |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Pandagate |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tuscan Gold |
3.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
No Bien Ni Mal (BRZ) |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Chileno |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
11 |
11 |
Hop Sing |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Mikealicious |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Interceptor |
8.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Turn and Count |
20.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Waitlist |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Classicist |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Insurmountable |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.