Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, August 10, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Chillax 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Momentum Files 4.00 3.2 6-1
5 4 Roger Roger 10.00 4.3 8-1
3 2 Fun to Tap 3.50 4.5 8-1
1A 8 Worthy Charge 2.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Party With Smarty 30.00 6.2 12-1
1 5 Peak Performer 2.00 7.2 14-1
2 1 Limo 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Le Gris 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 First of His Name 6.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Timaeus 8.00 2.4 4-1
6 6 Leftembehind 4.50 3.3 6-1
7 7 Who’s the King 5.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Mr. Ripple 2.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Solo Empire 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Tap to Mischief 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Waralo 2.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 After Taxes (IRE) 6.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Innate (IRE) 4.50 4 8-1
6 6 Irish Gent (IRE) 3.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Great Lilo 10.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Kunshan Bridge 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Marcus Gift 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Caribbean Wind 1.80 SCRATCH
8 8 Voila Magic 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Epic Desire 8.00 1 2-1
5 5 Final Score 2.50 1.6 3-1
3 3 Heeere’s Johnny 3.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Time to Strike 5.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Boss Henry 4.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 Golden Rule 10.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Spherical 12.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Positive Equity 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Essential Coffee 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Carmel Coast 5.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Memorized 3.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Lovely Christina 4.50 3.8 7-1
8 8 So Vain 2.50 4.2 8-1
2 2 Everytimeithinkofu 20.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Karey 20.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Quiddity 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Spirit of the Law 2.50 1 2-1
9 9 Makeyourmoment 6.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Ragazzo d’Oro 10.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Arch’s Assault 5.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Powered by Coal 4.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Pretrial Statement 15.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 The Craftsman 15.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Big Brown Delivers 15.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Sunshine Dancer 20.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Rossbeigh 8.00 7 13-1
7 7 Classic Martini 50.00 7.8 15-1
13 13 Prince of Dance 8.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Wind Dancer 12.00 SCRATCH
16 16 God Given 5.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Desert Power 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Blue Pill 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 1 My Two Sophia’s 2.00 1 2-1
4 2 Cdakhat (IRE) 12.00 2 4-1
8 7 Five to Two 4.50 2.2 4-1
9 11 Valentine Gift 5.00 3.4 6-1
5 3 Dashing Della 10.00 3.5 7-1
2B 9 Harlan’s Bond 8.00 4.4 8-1
1A 10 Moonlit Weekend 6.00 4.7 9-1
6 5 Dream On Cara 8.00 5 10-1
1 4 Danneel 6.00 5.1 10-1
7 6 Santagata 15.00 SCRATCH
2 8 Rodeo Star 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Rabaja 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Slapintheface 5.00 1 2-1
8 8 Conman 2.00 3.4 7-1
6 6 Russian Realm 6.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Ocala Dream 12.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 American Grant 10.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Mo Trump 10.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 Neural Network 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Coinage 10.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Cable Ready 30.00 7.3 14-1
14 14 Whittington Park 4.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Pineapple Man 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Cut the Cord 2.50 SCRATCH
15 15 Mighty Atlas 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Crimson Light 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Mahony S.) – Mahony S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Governor Sam 1.00 1 2-1
8 8 Gabaldon 8.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Ancient World 10.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Ortley Avenue (IRE) 10.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Innovator 12.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 No Evidence 8.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Spiced Up 8.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Jet Sweep Joe 20.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Saturday Flirt 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Pandagate 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Tuscan Gold 3.50 3 6-1
8 8 No Bien Ni Mal (BRZ) 15.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Chileno 6.00 4.8 9-1
11 11 Hop Sing 8.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Mikealicious 20.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Interceptor 8.00 6.6 12-1
10 10 Turn and Count 20.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Waitlist 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Classicist 3.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Insurmountable 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.