Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Come On Big Lou | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miah Said | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Lew | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Professor Reload | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Westmore | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Z Hub | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Love You Lippy | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Citori | 1.40 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wildfire | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Where’s Samnbailey | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Holymolymeohmy | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | La Belva | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Strike a Chord | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shamra | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | April de Velp | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sloans Sky | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kavala | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Very Savvy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pet Sounds | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lonhro’s Gamble | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smart Almasty | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Guard of Honour | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Diva’s Ghost | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Perfect Play | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blue Montjeu | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Golden Truth | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cat’s Fury | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gone Hunting | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Political Warfare | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Time Passes | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Philip Banks | 3.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chasing Memories | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bee Me | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Howsitgoinowen | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Signature Sir | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Red Weaver | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stirling Castle | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Souper Tuscan | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pocket Speed | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Souper Strider | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Jimmies Big Day | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Executive Search | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sherif Ali | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Highland Society | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Heat Merchant | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Enchant Me | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Absolute Chairman | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Soulmate | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | One More Brew | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Breaking Alone | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Media Sensation | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Really Good | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fighter in the Win | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cornwall | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Armstrong | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Priceless Will | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hanlan | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Your Valentino | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Highland Life | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Poseidon Steel | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rat Portage | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Backroadsbilly | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Glasweigian | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Roar of the Crowd | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Yoddha | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tiernan | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wagner | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Demba | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Bucyk | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Phillip My Wine | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Speedy Bear | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.