Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | First Glimpse | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | In the Dance | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Harvard | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hoku | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Alvy | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sir Exton | 3.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Melt With You | 2.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hey Big Un | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Possum | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Preacha Meyers | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Top Blood | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Tankness | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Hot Stott | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Makoa | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Elfuegomasbrilante | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Return Fire | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kunooz | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fightnomoreforever | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Half a League | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | If I Were You | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spy Wars | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sharp Red Eagle | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | I Wanna Rock | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Phobia | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Pure Realization | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Royal Browne | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Muthabir | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Striking Sparks | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Style Me Royal | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Secret Treasure | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Level Up | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sagrada Ray | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bird King | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Master of None | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | The Colora Kid | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Hidden Motive | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gallant Lad | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Redemption Speight | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Luca Machine | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tate’s War Cry | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Smart Uncle | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Juris Doctor | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Frame Up | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Toro Jr. | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Scottish Storm | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Wyoming Class | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Dr. Merciless | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Augustine Red | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Neon Sign | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dewy’s Beast | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Boat Song | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Frosty the Giant | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Runyonesque | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Thataway | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Easy Action | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Harp’s Hot Corner | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Versus | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Understudy Kitty | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stormy Flight | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mosler Time | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | St. John’s | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Recker Point | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | War Master | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Adero | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wild Vine | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | St. Jude | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Khozeiress | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Goodbye Note | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ten Gauge | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Give It a Whirl | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sandini | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kuz It’s Chilly | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Notturno | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Amazing Bernie | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ray’s Blue Wagon | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Brindano | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Knockout Guy | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.