Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1A |
4 |
Caroline St. Beat |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
2 |
Stickupwithoutagun |
12.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
5 |
7 |
Jack’s World |
6.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
1 |
Tim and Sam |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
2B |
6 |
Genie |
5.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
8 |
10 |
Verbinden |
20.00 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
6 |
8 |
Newlyn |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
7 |
9 |
Honoree |
3.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
3 |
Jaxer |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
5 |
Force |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Ruleroftheuniverse |
6.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dreamlike |
1.60 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Commuted |
8.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Incantation |
20.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Invictus |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
The Boondocker |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Employeeofthemonth |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Baby Sassicaia |
3.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sheer Will |
2.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Here’syourtrouble |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lady Gunner |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sassy Maxine |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tafaany |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Contract Law |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Just Add Water |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bustin Bullet |
6.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Weekend Rags |
5.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Strictly Taboo |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Firsttimeinforever |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Kerry |
15.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bellacose |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Majestic Return |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Marco T. |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
5 |
Suspiciously Named |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
6 |
The Nominees Are |
3.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
4 |
3 |
Bermuda Triangle |
10.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Policy Change |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
2 |
1 |
Founders |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
3 |
2 |
Fully Booked |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Swamp Fox |
6.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
5 |
4 |
Starship Titan |
20.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
1 |
7 |
Vintage Vino |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Sturdy |
1.60 |
SCRATCH |
1A |
13 |
Salvation |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Fiddling Felix |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Araucano |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Valentine Crusader |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sunday Boy |
8.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Arctic Beast |
5.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Froutien |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Pride of the Union |
4.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Diamond Life |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mission Critical |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
King of Fog |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Volatile Market |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Hey Cookie |
3.50 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Golden Irish |
3.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Spun Size |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
That’s Funny |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Circuit Court |
6.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Royal Event |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Always Practical |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Feasible |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Will Not Be Swayed |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
12 |
12 |
Bunny Honey |
12.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
9 |
9 |
Silent Melody |
5.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Starlight Dancer |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Boxed Wine |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
River Tay (IRE) |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Proud Mary |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
11 |
11 |
Alette d’Oro |
30.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Rock Harbor |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lady River Lily |
50.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Quite Continental |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Widdershins |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Flatter Fanatic |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Leslie’s Star |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Gold Stamp |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Higher Force |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Smart And Fancy S.) – Smart And Fancy S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Future Is Now |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Twirling Queen |
6.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sunday Girl |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ellen Jay |
3.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Benedetta |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Dontlookbackatall |
15.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Risk Threshold (IRE) |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Out too Late (GB) |
30.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gal in a Rush |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Little Prankster |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Legadema |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Undisputed |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Twohonestmischief |
12.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
God Given |
20.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
9 |
9 |
Kaz Oil Changer |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
State of Readiness |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Solo Jim |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dormello |
4.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Inspeightofcharlie |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Montosoli |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Chris’s Song |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.