Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, August 16, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Unwritten Code 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Discrepancy 4.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Misty Dancer 8.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Shanghai Sunrise 5.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Outer Sunset 12.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Roman Empress 3.50 7.3 14-1
1 1 Putt for Dough 8.00 7.5 14-1
2 2 I’m a Risque Girl 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Our Bucky Charm 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Sharp Aza Tack 8.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Regal Patriot 8.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Kangaroo Court 8.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Bad Uncle Barry 3.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Golden Ale 6.00 5 9-1
3 3 Dancing Rinca 12.00 5.4 10-1
10 10 Anmer Hall 10.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Vancougar 8.00 5.9 11-1
11 11 The Old Nine (IRE) 30.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Natural Fighter (IRE) 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sendit Mo 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Litmus Test 1.40 2 4-1
5 5 Chapter One 3.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Falcon Jet 3.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 In the Mix 15.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Arizona Moon Rise 20.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Trail Blaze 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Got the Ring 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Yours Sincerely (IRE) 8.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Tiz Grace 5.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Kizazi 6.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Improbable U 6.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Padel Addict (IRE) 3.50 6.3 12-1
4 4 Dats Ms. Blame 8.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Chasing Numbers 20.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Darlin’ Duchess 20.00 7 13-1
10 10 Authentically 30.00 7.1 13-1
12 12 Hypergamy 4.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Miss Queue 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Cooling Off 15.00 1 2-1
3 3 Nine Fools 15.00 1.9 3-1
1 1 Eltonsingsanother 4.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Misty Muppet 3.50 3.6 7-1
6 6 Cela Hall 8.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Empress of Grace 5.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Lil’ Boom Boom 2.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Wild Cat Danzing 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Gypsy Woman (IRE) 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Grecian Goddess 12.00 3.3 6-1
11 10 Rugelach 3.50 4 7-1
8 7 She’s a Joker 8.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Sakura Flavor (IRE) 30.00 5.4 10-1
9 8 Drum Roll 12.00 6.1 12-1
10 9 The White Lady (FR) 3.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Laudatory 5.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Shy Ann 30.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Esmeray (IRE) 30.00 8 15-1
7 98 Over Attracted 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Can’t Help Myself 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Arisaka 5.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Mystic Moses 3.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Ride the Tiger 12.00 4 7-1
9 9 Senor Tequilas 20.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Ocean Bear 4.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 He’s Got Fire 12.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Need Mo Diamonds 8.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Mr My Hoyt 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Del Mar Oaks Presented By Keeneland Sales S.) – Del Mar Oaks Presented By Keeneland Sales S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Lush Lips (GB) 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Will Then 6.00 1.6 3-1
10 10 Thought Process 1.60 1.8 3-1
8 8 Firenze Flavor 15.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Casalu 10.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Resolve 20.00 5 9-1
1 1 Slick (IRE) 15.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Edge of Mali (IRE) 15.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Take A Breath (GB) 12.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Velocity 15.00 6.8 13-1
12 12 Striver 30.00 8.1 15-1
11 11 Miso Phansy 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Get Her Number 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Contrary Chieftain 4.00 4 8-1
2 2 Lil Richards Bello 3.50 4.2 8-1
5 5 Zimba Warrior 12.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Mother’s Prayer 12.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Delian League 20.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Joint Venture 6.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Four O Six Creed 5.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Toes 10.00 1 2-1
4 4 For Arrogate 6.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Starwood 8.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 The Mizen Queen (IRE) 3.50 3.7 7-1
7 7 Miss Artois 8.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Boujee Beach 8.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Sweet Gem 20.00 5 9-1
5 5 Pristine 20.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Gathered 4.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Auntie 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.