Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, August 16, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Six Fortyfive 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Migratory 1.80 4 8-1
6 6 Battle Anthem 6.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Lobo Go 20.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 San Quintin 15.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Let Loose Louie 30.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 Gran Corredor 30.00 8.4 16-1
2 2 Dontsplashthepot 5.00 8.5 16-1
10 10 Brunch 10.00 8.5 16-1
4 4 Tom S 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Trackster 12.00 1 2-1
12 12 Wannabeeloved 8.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Disattached 2.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Mohawk River 12.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Saratoga Cruiser 6.00 6.8 13-1
11 11 Westhampton 6.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Calvino 20.00 7.7 15-1
6 6 Noble Tiger 10.00 8.3 16-1
10 10 Messagefromtheking 4.50 8.6 16-1
2 2 Chromotion 30.00 8.7 16-1
3 3 Giuro 30.00 9.7 18-1
9 9 Noble Star 30.00 11.6 22-1
13 13 Gianluca Be Lucky 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Mega Don 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Greenfield Cougar 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Unshakable 10.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Be Thankful 1.40 1.6 3-1
4 4 Prism Pool Pat 5.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Fay’s Rhonda Cares 15.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Prayed for Girl 30.00 5.6 10-1
3 3 Uncaptured Dove 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mr Scatter 10.00 1 2-1
7 7 Luni Sima 2.50 1.6 3-1
1 1 Line Astray 30.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Bird Wildcat 3.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Rare Jewel 10.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Lace Up 5.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Bold Looker 3.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Major King 12.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Ringside 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 King d’Oro 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Mr Crowley 8.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Goes the Clown 5.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Red Roadster 15.00 6 11-1
8 8 Merlin 2.50 6.5 12-1
1 1 Outta Money 20.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Quereme Pass (ARG) 6.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Atwork 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 High Strike 10.00 1 2-1
1 1 Swashbuckle 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Secret Empire 6.00 2 4-1
7 7 Lou the Body 1.20 2.3 4-1
2 2 Not Guilty 12.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Sharpazano 12.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Tshiebwe 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Other Level 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Polizon 6.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 Turbo Fire 20.00 7.5 14-1
2 2 Josh Ready 8.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Chief Boden 20.00 7.8 15-1
8 8 Valen Time 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 White Bullet 12.00 8.7 17-1
7 7 Cademan 6.00 8.8 17-1
6 6 Road Forever 2.00 8.8 17-1
10 10 Candy Road 50.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Handicap) – Handicap

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Starship Impulsive 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Ashima 5.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Charlie’s Wish 8.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Lets Go Koko 4.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Starship Agenda 4.50 5 9-1
8 8 Sensitivity 5.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Oshala 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Crafty Collector 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Katheeb 2.00 1 2-1
13 13 Mackor 1.60 2.5 5-1
8 8 El Muchacho Alegre 8.00 5.5 10-1
11 11 Cajun’s Cookin 4.50 6.7 13-1
12 12 Decisive Pride 30.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 Moral Agency 8.00 7.5 14-1
4 4 Fighting Words 10.00 7.8 15-1
5 5 Gemstone Warrior 12.00 8.5 16-1
7 7 Tiz the Coast 8.00 8.9 17-1
2 2 Guaicaipuro 20.00 9.9 19-1
1 1 Last Run 10.00 10 19-1
6 6 Hendrickson 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Prince David 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Santal 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Sheer Drama H.) – Sheer Drama H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Haulin Ice 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Vincey Girl 10.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Nerazurri 20.00 5 9-1
9 9 Rumours Have It 3.50 5.5 10-1
8 8 Royal Poppy 15.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Poiema 20.00 6 11-1
3 3 Puckered 30.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Gallop d’Hermes 30.00 7 13-1
2 2 Claret Beret 1.40 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Mr Business 5.00 1 2-1
3 3 Animated 1.60 1.6 3-1
4 4 Flag Officer 6.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Ragman 15.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Seattle Roar 15.00 7.7 14-1
5 5 Temperature Rising 50.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 Capt’n Pike 4.00 8.3 16-1
6 6 Noble Hero 50.00 8.3 16-1
9 9 Flying Ash 15.00 9.9 19-1
10 10 Numinous 12.00 10 19-1
8 8 Tazo Dorado 20.00 10 19-1
12 12 Bonfiglio 20.00 12 23-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.