Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 4 | Norwich | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | House United | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 3 | Airborne Elite | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fear of Union | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Indy Magic | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Sweetalkingbourbon | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 2 | Zippy Mark | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Victory Hall | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Belloro | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Avery’s Wonderland | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Probable Angle | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | One Holy Roller | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pinky Brier | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maxpower | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Magnolia Midnight | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Treaty Obligation | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Unclecharliesgift | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stolen Base | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gun It | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Alternate Reality | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sun Kiss | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tennessee Belle | 1.40 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Amended Dreamer | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nonna Teresa | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cognition | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Saratoga Party | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | All About You | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Run Wild | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fuerteventura | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Outsource | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kigali | 6.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Zverev | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Il Siciliano | 4.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ambition | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Investment Mandate | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Whittington Park | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Cartucho | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Frizzante | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Valentinian | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Wise Up | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | So It Begins | 30.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Keto Drink | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Santina | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | In Her Glory | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bodacious Queen | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pisces Moon | 50.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bibi Dahl | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sadie Earp | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Should’ve | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Headspin | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Hero Declared | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Alghero | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | It’s Our Time | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Forever Man | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cost Effective | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Renegade | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tiger Rocket | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Supreme Good (IRE) | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Good Illusion | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Talkin | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Crimson Light | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Get a Job | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Aggregation | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Palace Boss | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cicciobello | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shared Success | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mighty Atlas | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cut the Cord | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rock the Weekend | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Skidmore S.) – Skidmore S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bobrovsky | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Monster | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Malus | 12.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tough Critic | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Spirit of New York | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sandal’s Song | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Schwarzenegger | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Gypsy Art | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Alabama S. Presented By Keeneland Sales) – Alabama S. Presented By Keeneland Sales
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Good Cheer | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nitrogen | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | La Cara | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Margie’s Intention | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kinzie Queen | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Queen Azteca | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Landman Friday | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Assertiveness | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dakota Country | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mo Go | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ready Set Twirl | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kid Kreesa | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Heroneandonly | 50.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Magni | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Middle Market | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sky Masterson | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bustin Away | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | On the Ledge | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Not for Hire | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sir Kartrite | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Courtly Banker | 4.50 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pay the Juice | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spoken Bluntly | 4.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stormy Birthday | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Alan Turing | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Scaramanga | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Vekinda | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Roofer | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.