Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Timeframe |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ideologist |
8.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Buium |
6.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Thundermaker |
2.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lennox the Grey |
12.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Court |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Fire and Wine |
20.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Blind River |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Will Win |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Crumlin Trouble |
12.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Top of D Mountain |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cloud Rider |
3.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
11 |
11 |
Reload Eh |
15.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Rock Hard Rose |
6.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Aint No Girly Girl |
8.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Arctic Blonde |
5.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Naughty Destiny |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Miss Boujee |
15.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Tallawah |
20.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Malibu Betty |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
13 |
13 |
Dancin Mary Marie |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Adorable Angel |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Western Whirl |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bertani |
10.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Power Seeker |
12.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Found My Ball |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Society’s Thunder |
3.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Niagara Skyline |
2.50 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ironstone |
15.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
6 |
6 |
Uphill Dance |
4.50 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
8 |
8 |
Time for Truth |
6.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Miss Demanding |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Soupergirl |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Will Reign |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
She Loves |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ontario |
2.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lunch With Bernie |
10.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Salt |
12.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Madame Obey |
3.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Catch A Glimpse S.) – Catch A Glimpse S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Corsia Veloce |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Piper’s Gift |
8.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dyna |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Nacho Problem |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sweet Fusion |
2.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Twist of Sugar |
12.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Kinzie Girl |
20.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
On My Time |
10.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Just Magnificent |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Miramichi |
2.50 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
I Got Murphed |
4.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tandhoneywithane |
6.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Scat Girl |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Saratoga Holiday |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ambitious Lass |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Hymn to Her |
12.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Bound to Be True |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
10 |
10 |
Totally in Charge |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (E. P. Taylor S.) – E. P. Taylor S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Ready for Shirl |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Caitlinhergrtness |
8.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Diamond Rain (GB) |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
She Feels Pretty |
0.60 |
4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Venencia (FR) |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Literate |
20.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hurricane Clair |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Bold Venture S.) – Bold Venture S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Junior Hot Shot |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Simcoe |
2.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Victory Achieved |
4.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Playmea Tune |
2.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
I’m A Gambler (IRE) |
8.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Old Chestnut |
20.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ice Chocolat (BRZ) |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Twin City |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (King’s Plate S.) – King’s Plate S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Notorious Gangster |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mansetti |
10.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Scorching |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
No Time |
3.50 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
11 |
11 |
Tom’s Magic |
5.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
12 |
12 |
Sedburys Ghost |
6.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Runaway Again |
12.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Faber |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
2 |
2 |
William T |
20.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
8 |
8 |
Dewolf |
30.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mythical Man |
50.00 |
9.3 |
18-1 |
13 |
13 |
Ashley’s Archer |
12.00 |
9.6 |
18-1 |
9 |
9 |
Watsonville Red |
50.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Bet365 King Edward S.) – Bet365 King Edward S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Cruden Bay |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Piper’s Factor |
8.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Gas Me Up |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lucky Score |
12.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Twin City |
20.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
War Strategy |
4.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mason’s Gamble |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Wyoming Bill |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Public Sector (GB) |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dresden Row |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Bet365 Soaring Free S.) – Bet365 Soaring Free S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Casson |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Longhi |
8.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Jupiter |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Two Out Hero |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Jutland |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Rude Procedure |
10.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mo Dodgy |
10.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Argos |
12.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
6 |
6 |
Baytown Dreamer |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Human Desire |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Take Charge Sousi |
4.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
War of Destiny |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Daddy Has Diamonds |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lonny’s Gamble |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Awesome Rainbow |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ride for the Purse |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Westminster |
20.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sprung Loose |
20.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
10 |
10 |
Tutti Contenti |
10.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 13 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Monterey Bay |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
11 |
11 |
Indian Peak |
6.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Awesome Bourbon |
4.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
13 |
13 |
Fly the W |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Journeyman |
3.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Penner Ash (IRE) |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
El Alacran |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Perfect Crime |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
British Artillery |
20.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tiz Romantic |
8.00 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
5 |
5 |
Grandson |
20.00 |
9.7 |
18-1 |
10 |
10 |
Gilt Edge |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Mad Dog N Joe |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.