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Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, August 16, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Timeframe 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Ideologist 8.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Buium 6.00 2.9 6-1
9 9 Thundermaker 2.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Lennox the Grey 12.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Court 10.00 4 8-1
2 2 Fire and Wine 20.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Blind River 12.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Will Win 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Crumlin Trouble 12.00 1 2-1
8 8 Top of D Mountain 3.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Cloud Rider 3.50 1.3 2-1
11 11 Reload Eh 15.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Rock Hard Rose 6.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Aint No Girly Girl 8.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Arctic Blonde 5.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Naughty Destiny 10.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Miss Boujee 15.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Tallawah 20.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 Malibu Betty 20.00 10 19-1
13 13 Dancin Mary Marie 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Adorable Angel 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Western Whirl 8.00 1 2-1
4 4 Bertani 10.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Power Seeker 12.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Found My Ball 12.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Society’s Thunder 3.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Niagara Skyline 2.50 7.3 14-1
5 5 Ironstone 15.00 8.3 16-1
6 6 Uphill Dance 4.50 8.4 16-1
8 8 Time for Truth 6.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Miss Demanding 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Soupergirl 8.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Will Reign 6.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 She Loves 20.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Ontario 2.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Lunch With Bernie 10.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Salt 12.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 Madame Obey 3.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Catch A Glimpse S.) – Catch A Glimpse S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Corsia Veloce 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Piper’s Gift 8.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Dyna 3.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Nacho Problem 6.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Sweet Fusion 2.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Twist of Sugar 12.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Kinzie Girl 20.00 6.1 11-1
7 7 On My Time 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Just Magnificent 3.50 1 2-1
9 9 Miramichi 2.50 1.1 2-1
8 8 I Got Murphed 4.00 1.5 3-1
6 6 Tandhoneywithane 6.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Scat Girl 8.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Saratoga Holiday 10.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Ambitious Lass 20.00 6 11-1
7 7 Hymn to Her 12.00 6.1 11-1
4 4 Bound to Be True 20.00 7.4 14-1
10 10 Totally in Charge 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (E. P. Taylor S.) – E. P. Taylor S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Ready for Shirl 3.50 1 2-1
5 5 Caitlinhergrtness 8.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Diamond Rain (GB) 6.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 She Feels Pretty 0.60 4 8-1
1 1 Venencia (FR) 12.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Literate 20.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Hurricane Clair 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Bold Venture S.) – Bold Venture S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Junior Hot Shot 8.00 1 2-1
6 6 Simcoe 2.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Victory Achieved 4.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Playmea Tune 2.50 2.7 5-1
7 7 I’m A Gambler (IRE) 8.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Old Chestnut 20.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Ice Chocolat (BRZ) 6.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Twin City 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (King’s Plate S.) – King’s Plate S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Notorious Gangster 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Mansetti 10.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Scorching 10.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 No Time 3.50 5.3 10-1
11 11 Tom’s Magic 5.00 6 11-1
12 12 Sedburys Ghost 6.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Runaway Again 12.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Faber 30.00 8 15-1
2 2 William T 20.00 8.1 15-1
8 8 Dewolf 30.00 8.2 15-1
5 5 Mythical Man 50.00 9.3 18-1
13 13 Ashley’s Archer 12.00 9.6 18-1
9 9 Watsonville Red 50.00 13 25-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Bet365 King Edward S.) – Bet365 King Edward S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Cruden Bay 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Piper’s Factor 8.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Gas Me Up 6.00 2 4-1
6 6 Lucky Score 12.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Twin City 20.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 War Strategy 4.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Mason’s Gamble 20.00 5 9-1
4 4 Wyoming Bill 15.00 6.3 12-1
9 9 Public Sector (GB) 20.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Dresden Row 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Bet365 Soaring Free S.) – Bet365 Soaring Free S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Casson 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Longhi 8.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Jupiter 3.50 2 4-1
1 1 Two Out Hero 3.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Jutland 20.00 5 9-1
8 8 Rude Procedure 10.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Mo Dodgy 10.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Argos 12.00 8.1 15-1
6 6 Baytown Dreamer 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Human Desire 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Take Charge Sousi 4.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 War of Destiny 3.00 3 6-1
4 4 Daddy Has Diamonds 6.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Lonny’s Gamble 8.00 5 9-1
7 7 Awesome Rainbow 12.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Ride for the Purse 20.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 Westminster 20.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Sprung Loose 20.00 8.4 16-1
10 10 Tutti Contenti 10.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 13 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Monterey Bay 2.00 1 2-1
11 11 Indian Peak 6.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Awesome Bourbon 4.00 2.8 5-1
13 13 Fly the W 4.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Journeyman 3.50 5 9-1
2 2 Penner Ash (IRE) 20.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 El Alacran 20.00 7.3 14-1
8 8 Perfect Crime 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 British Artillery 20.00 8.2 16-1
7 7 Tiz Romantic 8.00 9.1 17-1
5 5 Grandson 20.00 9.7 18-1
10 10 Gilt Edge 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Mad Dog N Joe 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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