Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Ready for Candy |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Abundant Love |
3.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dimensionality |
4.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mystic Sea |
6.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Inesperee |
6.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Pemaquid |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Endorse |
1.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Pionus |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Daisy Duke |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Moon Cache |
2.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Fortuna Mia |
3.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Kadena |
4.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Looks First |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Alcala |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Obstreperous |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sol Hope |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cara’s Time |
12.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
C’Est Cheese |
12.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Proud Foot |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Everyoneloveslinda |
1.40 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Flowers for Me |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
3 |
3 |
Kairyu (IRE) |
0.40 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Valentinian |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
New Magic |
3.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Frizzante |
4.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Wise Up |
5.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Trident Hit |
6.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Whittington Park |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Trust Issues |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Plausible Denile |
2.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
1A |
4 |
Zippy Mark |
2.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
7 |
8 |
Shoot the Nickel |
4.50 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
4 |
5 |
Typhoon Fury |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Roar Ready |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
6 |
7 |
Go Irish |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
5 |
6 |
Three B’s |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Guitarist |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Teleport (IRE) |
2.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Honey’s to Blame |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Scope |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Expressway |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Tartabull |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Stimulate |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Woodster |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Dynadee |
12.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Spiritual Lady |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Problematica |
3.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Equus |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Champagne Surprise |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Irish Jackson |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Ghostly Girl |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Jackson’s Dixie |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Troubled Luck |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Bolton Landing S.) – Bolton Landing S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Cy Fair |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
My Sweetheart |
3.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sacred Goddess |
4.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Snow Face Princess |
6.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Bramble Blast |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Gerrards Cross |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Should’ve |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Sapphire Beach (IRE) |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Annexperience |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Real Savvy |
3.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
10 |
10 |
Sounds Like a Plan |
4.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Zapruder |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Just for Luck |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
The Paddock Pastor |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Li’l Lang |
12.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Royal Browne |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Van Vollenhoven |
20.00 |
10.6 |
20-1 |
11 |
11 |
Miztertonic |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Golden Reign |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Hey Toby |
2.00 |
SCRATCH |
16 |
16 |
Solo Empire |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Outtawaterbury |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Detail Oriented |
30.00 |
16 |
30-1 |
13 |
13 |
New Matthew |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Secured Lender |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Volt |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sports Hero |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sergeant Capps |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
No Merlot |
12.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Senor Poncho |
15.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Cocktailsnkringle |
15.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cyberbeast |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Fleeting Free |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
1 |
1 |
Araucano |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.