Site icon Sports from the Basement

Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, August 17, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Ready for Candy 1.40 1 2-1
4 4 Abundant Love 3.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Dimensionality 4.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Mystic Sea 6.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Inesperee 6.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Pemaquid 8.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Endorse 1.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Pionus 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Daisy Duke 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Moon Cache 2.50 1.5 3-1
1 1 Fortuna Mia 3.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Kadena 4.50 2.7 5-1
3 3 Looks First 8.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Alcala 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Obstreperous 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Sol Hope 6.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Cara’s Time 12.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 C’Est Cheese 12.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 Proud Foot 2.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Everyoneloveslinda 1.40 SCRATCH
1 1 Flowers for Me 15.00 8 15-1
3 3 Kairyu (IRE) 0.40 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Valentinian 1.40 1 2-1
4 4 New Magic 3.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Frizzante 4.50 3.4 6-1
3 3 Wise Up 5.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Trident Hit 6.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Whittington Park 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Trust Issues 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Plausible Denile 2.50 1.3 2-1
1A 4 Zippy Mark 2.50 1.3 2-1
7 8 Shoot the Nickel 4.50 2.4 4-1
4 5 Typhoon Fury 8.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Roar Ready 10.00 5.3 10-1
6 7 Go Irish 15.00 8 15-1
5 6 Three B’s 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Guitarist 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Teleport (IRE) 2.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Honey’s to Blame 5.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Scope 8.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Expressway 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Tartabull 2.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Stimulate 2.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Woodster 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Dynadee 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Spiritual Lady 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Problematica 3.50 1.4 3-1
2 2 Equus 15.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Champagne Surprise 20.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Irish Jackson 3.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Ghostly Girl 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Jackson’s Dixie 2.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Troubled Luck 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Bolton Landing S.) – Bolton Landing S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Cy Fair 1.60 1 2-1
2 2 My Sweetheart 3.50 1.7 3-1
6 6 Sacred Goddess 4.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 Snow Face Princess 6.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Bramble Blast 12.00 5 9-1
5 5 Gerrards Cross 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Should’ve 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Sapphire Beach (IRE) 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Annexperience 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Real Savvy 3.00 1.5 3-1
10 10 Sounds Like a Plan 4.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Zapruder 8.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Just for Luck 8.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 The Paddock Pastor 8.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Li’l Lang 12.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Royal Browne 15.00 8 15-1
7 7 Van Vollenhoven 20.00 10.6 20-1
11 11 Miztertonic 5.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Golden Reign 30.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Hey Toby 2.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Solo Empire 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Outtawaterbury 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Detail Oriented 30.00 16 30-1
13 13 New Matthew 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Secured Lender 1.40 1 2-1
7 7 Volt 3.50 2 4-1
8 8 Sports Hero 6.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Sergeant Capps 8.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 No Merlot 12.00 6.1 12-1
4 4 Senor Poncho 15.00 7.6 14-1
9 9 Cocktailsnkringle 15.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Cyberbeast 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Fleeting Free 20.00 10 19-1
1 1 Araucano 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Exit mobile version