Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Margarita Girl | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Philippa | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Into the Hall | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Naples Gal | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Neko | 2.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Curtsy | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dirty Words | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lean Music Machine | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Video Review | 1.40 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mutt Dillin | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Smiling Tizzy | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | B Grayson | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vino Amante | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Thirsty Trickster | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Exington | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Moochie Girl | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Liquid Spirit | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Perfect Life | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Thirsty Destiny | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Princess Daddy | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cioppina Pasadina | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cara Rose | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Final Table Lady | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Adia | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Avocado Lake | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Magic Club | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big Coin | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Training Good | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cash in Toknight | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lady K Westfall | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Violets Song | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Miso Phansy | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Mendelssohn | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Issa Court | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jessebear | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I Had That One Too | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Broadway Venus | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Goodnight Nellie | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Magical Miss | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mirinda | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | No Cap | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Darlin Tami | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Freya | 2.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quick Omen | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Press Your Luck | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Only Reputation | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Petit Filet | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Coralgableskaylin | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Fancy Facts | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sea Dog | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Havoc | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sugar Beets | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Impossible Task | 1.80 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | American Empire | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bel Ragazzo | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bobby’s Alibi | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chief Jackson | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Law Abiding | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Druidic | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Trusty Rusty | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mongolian Apple | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | McClusky | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Uncharted | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Oobubbakakayo | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sunset Storm | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.