Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
P J’s Song |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Crabcakes N Beer |
2.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sir Banana Brian |
12.00 |
1.9 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Performance Plus |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Silent Roar |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lucky Lucky Luke |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Blackwater Falls |
12.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Darvesh |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Swift Tap |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Prom Knight |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Estilo Magico |
1.20 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Callin My Name |
12.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mogalu |
4.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mahomes Money |
15.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Notion to Tapit |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Real Talented |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
God Is Life |
4.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
My Lucky Ace |
10.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Jr Sergio |
12.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Electioneering |
1.60 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Frame Up |
10.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Saucy Ham |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
She Is Wisky |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
10 |
10 |
Patty Cakes |
3.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Tiki Bar |
2.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lovely Charm |
10.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Princess Javoncia |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Memphis Showboat |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Stella Mars |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Chez Soleil |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Shy Shy |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Expecting a Winner |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Paynter’s Prodigy |
10.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Admit Nothing |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Ascendance |
5.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mr. Hustle |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Bandero |
3.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Yes Point |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Norfie |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ghost Stalker |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Zipper Zapper |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Curlins Cruzin |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Alilnalot |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Martini Martin |
10.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
My Man Woody |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Belts ‘n Brooks |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
H C Holiday |
3.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
The Heights |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mean Tweets |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Borracho |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Paco the Taco Man |
1.60 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Backnthewoods |
10.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Don’t Wait Up |
12.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Yo Yo Candy |
2.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Whiskey and You |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.