Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Goatski | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Strawberry Tizzy | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Z’s Wardrobe | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Whoosh | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Little Silver Girl | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Silver Flirt | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Honey Jo | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Carmen Miranda | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stay in Line | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Emirates Affair | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Elegant Sway | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blue Wildcat | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sophistry | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Arkadelphia | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | L Rankin | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | B G Bullet | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Terrapin Flyer | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Saturday | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | A. P. Again | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bella’s Bro | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Cactus Charlie | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Can You Dream | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chica Tigre | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Victoria’s Jewel | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kiss Me Coco | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sheer Lightning | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Joyriding | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Royally Unstable | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Selected | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crunchy | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | I’m No Swifty | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Thirty Two Chunk | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Catmansue | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Charlie Foxtrot | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cultural | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Our Consigliere | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Harbor Code | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miracle Mark | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | One Step Beyond | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mr. Cardenas | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Guillermo | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Surf Ranger | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Trail Blaze | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Man Huey | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Moroni | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gray Tiger | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | King of Success | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Darth Graydar | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Jeweled Shillelagh | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Beef Winslow | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dandy Man Shines (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cathal (IRE) | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Caisson | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cowboy Mike | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kawazaki (IRE) | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Simplexity (IRE) | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ghazaaly | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lena Lindgard | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Evermore | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ready to Dare | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Heartfull of Joy | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Nea | 30.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Perfect Smile | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ponytail Pete | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Thetribehasspoken | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Prizeconquest | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Siempre Naman | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Free Nomination | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 14 | 98 | Smoove Over | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 12 | Savel | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 98 | Mademm Coco | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.