Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Absolutely Certain | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Roaring Rapids | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bernardo | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rango | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Noble Reign | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fair Weather Flyer | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Follow the Star | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Summer Splash | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | It Makes Sense | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Derby Date | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Threefiftyseven | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Affectionto Autism | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Wife Is Right | 6.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Love Candy | 20.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mor Big Lee | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Kick It Again Bob | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Royally | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Del Moon | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Clay’s Black Opal | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grapnel | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ima Bling Cat | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Good Good Boy | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Count de Monet | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Immelmann | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Johnny Appleseed | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Stormy’s Revenge | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Because | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rainbow Angel | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smart Okie | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gypsy Rose | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Okie Love | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Code Mandalore | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ima Boxer Boy | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Brody’s Chrome | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fully Funded | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bobcat Bite | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Double Rap | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Appeals Last Ride | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gospel Cornerstone | 4.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Proven Hope | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cashmeup | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Go Cats | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | T Bones Trick | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I Am Grodd | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hightail Cowboy | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Da Candy Cane | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cams Hotrod | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | All Aflutter | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stolen Kisses | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Let Her Buck | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Oh Niki | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Attitude | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ocelot | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Carlea’s Dream | 3.50 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Regal Terka | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mor Victory | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mandolin Wind | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dose’s Dream | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Secured | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moon Crater | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Yoda Winner | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sheri’s Prada | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Methods | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kinky Moon | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fineness | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Say as I Say | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rich Gift | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Love Me a Sunset | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beverly Diner | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Caleb’s Candy | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Itty Bitty Baby | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.