Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Friday, August 22, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 King of Fog 10.00 1 2-1
7 7 Cristobal 0.80 1 2-1
4 4 Three Thirteen 4.50 1.3 2-1
8 8 Make a Prediction 6.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Followill 12.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Berman 8.00 4 8-1
1 1 Takahama 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Fourth and One 1.20 SCRATCH
2 2 Essentially Fast 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Princess Madison 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 Everyoneloveslinda 6.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Tricky Temper 1.80 3.4 6-1
6 6 Bourbon Breeze 4.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Maggy’s Palace 5.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Caress 4.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Seeking The Ante S.) – Seeking The Ante S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Iron Orchard 0.80 1 2-1
6 6 Grazie 4.00 2 4-1
1 1 Angel Gift 5.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Shakti 3.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Dopamine 15.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Oriole Way 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Quick Hammer 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Bold Endeavor 3.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Peek 3.50 2 4-1
5 5 Brew Pub 5.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Best Bet 10.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Cumberland Blues 20.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Royal Tryst 8.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Eric From Miami 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 7 Sittin Chilly 10.00 1 2-1
2 5 Tarpaulin 0.80 2.3 4-1
4 3 Dialbolico 6.00 4.1 8-1
1 2 Mackville 8.00 4.7 9-1
5 4 Wecallemfuncoupons 8.00 5.7 11-1
7 8 Sharp Play Boy 20.00 SCRATCH
8 10 Majestic Arc 15.00 6.3 12-1
3 1 Bernie Goes Boom 15.00 6.8 13-1
2B 9 Tiote 0.80 SCRATCH
9 11 Zakat 10.00 SCRATCH
1A 6 Western Wolf 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Actis 8.00 1 2-1
8 9 Curly Q Girl 6.00 1 2-1
1A 6 Venerini 8.00 2.9 5-1
2 1 Counterintuitive 3.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 Celebrity Warrior (IRE) 4.50 3.2 6-1
6 7 Amicable Farce 3.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Noisetomakenoise 10.00 3.7 7-1
7 8 Fille d’Oro (IRE) 5.00 4 8-1
9 10 Academia 1.00 SCRATCH
1 2 Raging Bloom 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Tisquantum 8.00 1 2-1
4 4 Systemic Change 4.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Margin of Air 3.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Suerte 6.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Laughing Boy 6.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Manta Rey 4.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 O P Firecracker 10.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Styner 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Cagliostro 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Cooke Creek 5.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Money Supply 8.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Film Star 3.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Mama’s Gold 6.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Full Screen 4.00 3 6-1
1 1 Wynstock 12.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Speed Bias 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Yaddo S. Presented By Stihl) – Yaddo S. Presented By Stihl

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Moonage Daydream 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Spinning Colors 3.50 2.8 5-1
9 9 Sterling Silver 5.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Awesome Czech 6.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Silver Skillet 6.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Being Betty 15.00 5 10-1
12 12 Midnight Concerto 20.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Brocknardini 10.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 She’s Our Tiz 20.00 8.1 15-1
11 11 Bernt Again 30.00 9.7 18-1
5 5 Firsttimeinforever 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Amanda’s Folly 8.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Krystalheir 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Malu 10.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Fast and Frisky 12.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Bernietakescharge 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Identity Crisis 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Alexis Zorba (GB) 3.50 1.7 3-1
11 11 Holding the Line (IRE) 6.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Reynolds Channel 8.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Nano Man 8.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Film Academy 6.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Cousin Ed 8.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Richard Ave 10.00 4.8 9-1
12 12 Epitaph 20.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Hard Par 15.00 6.2 12-1
13 13 Fly’n Frisbee 30.00 8.6 16-1
1 1 Mazzei 30.00 8.8 17-1
14 14 Price Is Truth 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Broderick 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.