Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Westwood | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Penalty Box | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ballyhooligan | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lorenzo Bernini | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Harmonique | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prank Zappa | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Rancho Bernardo H.) – Rancho Bernardo H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Formula Rossa | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Azteca | 0.40 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chismosa | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Donttellourwives | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Visually | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Curvino | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Night Out | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Crazy Cavalier | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | American Glory (GB) | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Blamethegoodtimes | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Special Club | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pacific Quest | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Silly Rabbit | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Pocket Venus | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Approval Rating | 20.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sei Bella | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Maximun Gold | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | From Scratch | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Saint Mihiel | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Aberdeen | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | A Fleet Ride | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Umbralle | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Miss Donna | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Camila Catalina | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Separator | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flamingo Star | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Springline | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Darlin Sugaree | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Will Happen | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Channel Place | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Golden Two Step | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Radiant View | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Violets Song | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Kizazi | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Smiling Capote | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bad to the Bones | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Silver N Black | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Youramystyle | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mongolian Altai | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fast Service | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Meeking | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Robarando | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Quebrancho | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Six Hot Grands | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Whats the Buzz | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Majestic Palisades | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Tapit Dynasty | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Brother Tony | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Naturally Blonde | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mendelssohns Angel | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fly At Knight | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Going Great Guns | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mia Pia | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sacred Sound | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Buzz the Tower | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dialing Destiny | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Waltz Across Texas | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Knead the Dough | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 98 | Expressive Love | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 12 | Pavel’s Etoile | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Vronaway | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ghost of Midnight | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Elwood Blues | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Red Flag | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tapalo | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tall Paul | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Manitowish | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Awesome Rhythm | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kingdom Heart | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ga Mo Tak (CHI) | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hejazi | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Drop Um | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Margot’s Boy | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Castle Leoch | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sydney Street (GB) | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Don’t Swear Dave | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sketchy | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hurricane Cloud (GB) | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hudson Ridge | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Zoffarelli (IRE) | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sbagliato | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lil Nas | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Megayacht | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 98 | Carver | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Neon Lights (IRE) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.