Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Erie Shores | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bill of Ice | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Souper Debonair | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Deputy Curlin | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hot Potato | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Silent Code | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Magna Time | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Globecrest | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Golden Truth | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Highly Potent | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kamasi | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mo’ Spresso | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Swiftlet | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hello Stranger | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Smoke McLeod | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hard Right | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stroke of Genius | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shak Town | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Perfect | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Not a Care | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flyonbye | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Thor’s Cause | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Paradise Perfect | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Entry | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mia Mitole | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Zabo | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Audi’s World | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Run Matteo Run | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Silent Knight | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Remarkably Human | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Algoma S.) – Algoma S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Little Teddy | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Souper Supreme | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Speedy Freeze | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hoodless | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Regal Moment | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spirit Bear | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Just Magnificent | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Muskoka S.) – Muskoka S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sipping History | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Pageant Queen | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cayenne Kiss | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lapin de Plage | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Souper Diva | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Superfly Chick | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fleury | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Winning Agenda | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Japonka | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Live Each Day | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Zisisit (IRE) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | War Painter | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mason’s Music | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Destiny Ro | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vazhi | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nantuckets Day | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Radio Goo Goo | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Simcoe S.) – Simcoe S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Highwaytothemoon | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bank On Big Winner | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Silver Is Best | 2.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Duckduckduck | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Speights Will | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Bold and First | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Noburu | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Found Money | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Making His Mark | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dri Saddle | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Elgin S.) – Elgin S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sunday’s Well | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Regal Guest | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Its Time to Shine | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Summer Commander | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kekoa | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Friendly Ghost | 15.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shadow Realm | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Criminal Intent | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Frost Bitten | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Private Label | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bowman’s Run | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Conacher | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gotme Good | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ciunas | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stratus | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jaggersgotagun | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mohaymen Diamond | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Good King Sam | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lost Star | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Connor | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Captain Junuh | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Yorkton’s Honour | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.