Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Easy Action |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Vini Vidi Vici |
4.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Always Gambling |
2.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
The Grayt Pumpkin |
5.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Humble Joe |
5.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Tiempo Perfecto |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Nicole’s King |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dos de Oros |
6.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dirty Harry |
1.60 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Pontiac |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Scamp Walker |
4.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Back East |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Gia’s Fuego |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
K D Kakes |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tomarie |
4.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Forest Maiden |
3.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Creme Caramel |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Raichu |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Mystic Lute |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Time Tested |
2.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Flashy Alex |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Darvesh |
5.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sir Cupid |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Celestial Dark |
3.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Incan Moon Goddess |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
I’m a Lucky Girl |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Treasure Peace |
12.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bruno Barber Girl |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Nouveau Riche |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Ravenite |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Fifty Nine Fifty |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Omaha Eight |
1.20 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Curlins Cruzin |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Raisedaroofcharlie |
12.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Track of My Tears |
3.50 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Rabbit |
5.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Financial Strength |
3.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Fluff the Pillow |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Good Reunion |
12.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Majestic Lion |
12.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Shouldhavebeengone |
2.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Renegade Serenade |
5.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Khopesh |
3.50 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Roan Burgundy |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Willisau |
6.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Factor U and Me In |
4.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Jewels in the Bay |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ira the Icon |
3.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lex |
4.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Star Man Bob |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Metalhead |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Trotsky |
5.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Real Blues |
2.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Southern Dream |
6.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Roxton |
6.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Reelin N Dealin |
4.50 |
7 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Face the Facts |
6.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.