Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Beyond Grateful | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Scouser | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Walter the Mason | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shanghai Cupid | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mr Fahrenheit | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spooky Action | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Millie O Nayer | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Koschei | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Cajun Gatsby | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Warhammer | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wristband | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chi Town Road | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | War for Gold | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gospel Native | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Seven Devils Road | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Squeaker | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Beachya | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Find the Light | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gormley’s Kitten | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hot Cookie | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kollyns Julie | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sure Thing Samurai | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Closdatgate | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Battle Cruiser | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Confiding | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Structured | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Redfortyseven | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Adger | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Draw Your Bow | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Powerwashed | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Forever Safe | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Joyful Image | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spoonin Shuga | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Holy Ama | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Irish Writ | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stir Up Desire | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Subject | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Double R Cat | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Keep Up the Pace | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Talker | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Too Cold At Home | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chahta Citizen | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gospel Journey | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Out With Mathew | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flat Be Judged | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tropic Ruler | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bobwhite Bobby | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Promise Code | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Storms Last | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | He’s a Rock | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Baja Boogie | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mega Shack | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Frigerator | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Golly Holly | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Izatiz | 5.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dr. Ray D. | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | On the Bridle | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Arr Piratetreasure | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bluebonnet Girl | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Go Purple | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bling It to Me | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Without a Trace | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Presidential | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blue Devil | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tiburon | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Bernie | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Compendium | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Runrate | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Perdido Star | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cruel | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reckless Ride | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pretty in Pearls | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Grand Circle | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Damascus Road | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Ritzy Mischief | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Clever Clementine | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.