Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Souperrazzledazzle | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Whiskey Over Wine | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alluring Amy | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Deanna | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Divinely Inspired | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mathematical | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Clay Soldier | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Breezero | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Empty Gesture | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Super Sicily | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kikitsa | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Retail Therapist | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ol’ Blondie | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Souper Sunday | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Citori | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Stolen | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Home for a Rest | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Sunny Valentine | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hard to Capture | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lois Len | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dynamic Strike | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Veri Gizmo | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fly the W | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Phillip My Wine | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ever Dangerous | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Alley Oop Johnny | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | English Actor | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Joyrider | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Connor | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grandson | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Penner Ash (IRE) | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Alta Calibre | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gretna Green | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Salmiakki | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tanzanite Lily | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Strike a Note | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tentomidnight | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Our Lilly | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Monty’s Inn | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Humble Heart | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | My Girl Sky | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flying Black | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blitz | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Queens Command (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wickenheiser | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bolt Enoree | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cozy Curlin Kitten | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Featherweight | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | No Layups | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cheat the Devil | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sultry Sophie | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hyper Holiday | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Fedorova | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sorry I Missed U | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | She’s So Croatian | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Country Dolly | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Almasty’s Lust | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Songs of War | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Crumlin Mission | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.