Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | He’s in Charge | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Johnnyfrenchfri | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spotted Bull | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dunphy | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Man Woody | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Russian Hammer | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Go East | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bounty Killah | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Firing Thoughts | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ritz On Broadway | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | La Tremenda | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lumenique | 1.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smart Red | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lord of War | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Uninvited Guest | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Scar | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Amusing Mischief | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | H C Holiday | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Level Up | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Indulge | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Omar Comin | 3.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Renovator | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Let’s Go Lando | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Coloma | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Suede Hooves | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jaxer | 2.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dorian | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tyrus | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Just Golden | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Global Phenom | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Betta Go Go Go | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sincerito | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Integrated | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ray’s Blue Wagon | 1.60 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | I Wanna Rock | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sidney’s Bid | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Duke of Dooly | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pure Realization | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Josh | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mystic Seaport | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Song of Norway | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | True Spun | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gift of Gab | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Beauty of the Nile | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | So Sophia (GB) | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Come to Mama | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mudslide | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Touisset | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Precious Avary | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Intrepid’s Legacy | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | De Angelo | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Neon Sign | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Runyonesque | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Genghis | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Boat Song | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Magic Mover | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Work Hard | 1.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kaladin | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Muthabir | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Amazing Bernie | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kuz It’s Chilly | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.