Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Comininalittlehot | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Call Me Sir | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tariff | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Earned Not Given | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Press Your Luck | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Typhoon Tommy | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Shared Belief S.) – Shared Belief S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Citizen Bull | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gaming | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Smooth Cruisein | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Privman | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Brother Brother | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Smokem and Love | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stanford Dropout | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kiki Ride | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Fumano’s Magic | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Chase N Ryan | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jimmy Delivers | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blazing Heat | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | What a Gift | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Cielitos Wish | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | He’s Got Fire | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 98 | Wicked Wit | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 98 | Wave With Envy | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 11 | Petrakos | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Zombo Bombo | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Resemblance | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Naismith | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Last Call Zondlo | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shady Appeal | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gunnin for Gold | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | The Big Cheeseola | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rhino | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Adios Nicanor | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Goldensunrise | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mandela Effect | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Heber | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Infinity Dream | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wildfire Princess | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Headstrong Ways | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Frog | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Twirling Light | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Unbinding (GB) | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Can’tdealwithit | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Moonlit Courage | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kool Tap Dancer | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Musical Song | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ridethelightning | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Daddygaveittome | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Perfect Smile | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 98 | Gigi’s Girl | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Falcon Jet | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beers On Me | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mr. A. P. | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kristofferson | 2.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rich Night | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rio Grande | 4.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sharons Angels | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Plagarist | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Out of the Woods | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Ima Joker | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Port Ellen (IRE) | 12.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cameron Slough | 12.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mayacama | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | O K Rose | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dorie Miller | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiaraqueen (GB) | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | La Scaloneta | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Giggle Giggle | 4.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Meagher (IRE) | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ride Elbow Ranch | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tiger Fire | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Calm Down Kimmie | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Amelia’s Echo | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Greta’s Ghost | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Big A’s Little One | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Vronaway | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | She’s a One of One | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Straker | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Don’t Ask Wy | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pretty Prancealot | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Dusty | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | West Fresno | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Caesars Sportsbook Del Mar Derby) – Caesars Sportsbook Del Mar Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Freedom’s Not Free | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | The Padre (IRE) | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Geometry | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mythical Reel (IRE) | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Game Warrior | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Iron Man Cal | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Clampett | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grubauer | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Good With People | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Western Freedom | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shea Brennan | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Captain Sparrow | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lawless World | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Centrodelantero | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Kikuride | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Breve | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Princesa Del Tigre | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Nothing Is Forever | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Quantum Innergy | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Theresasilverlinin | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Ashleys Sandcastle | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hey Demps | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Only Reputation | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Will | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dontmesswithtess | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Cooling Off | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Summer Lake | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | True Patriot | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.