Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Bernardo’s Legacy |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
What It Tiz |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Genuine Gomo |
1.60 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Max N Fifo |
20.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Del Toro |
15.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Secret Power |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Adios Mate |
4.50 |
7 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Yadirayadirayadira |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Battle Anthem |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Bold N Breezy |
5.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Lookin for Roses |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Willingness |
8.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Pet Mat |
4.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Blaze of Color |
15.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Oconee Life |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Dixie Preach |
6.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Endless Reign |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Titan |
30.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Big Boy Jak |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Drama |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Soda |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
La Rodada |
4.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ta’very Much |
2.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Win Bet Only |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Parlaypauline |
15.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mistrial Wind |
30.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Bravo Kitten |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Zo Zucchera |
2.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Pemberley |
6.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Seekingbythestorm |
4.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Three Run Bolt |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Eloper |
30.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
What a Knockout |
30.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Omega Ms |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Mighty Murphy |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Fighting Words |
10.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Moral Agency |
12.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bullet Blues |
2.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Fourty Four |
3.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Fredericksburg |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Blazing Tyreek |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sentenza |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Rezasrolex |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Yes I Am Free |
3.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Irideo (ARG) |
2.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Of a Revolution |
6.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
If Not for Luck |
12.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mr Narcissistic |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Cosmic Speculation |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Saybrook |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Sultan the Great |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Roxy |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Top Pocket Pick |
3.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Derby Hangover |
15.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Liz Loves Shopping |
4.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Plum Irish |
5.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mithril |
10.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cash Machine |
10.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
One Moment |
6.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
9 |
9 |
Money Battle |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Starship Melody |
8.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mom’s Martini |
1.60 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Crafty Collector |
1.80 |
3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Annie Goodbody |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Majustify |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Nerazurri |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Dime Papi |
4.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Corta Fuego |
2.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Giftedbydesign |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sneaky Sneaky |
10.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Rashid |
30.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Outta Money |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dimanche Gras |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sigan Viendo |
3.50 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sugar Buzz |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Mischievous Scout |
4.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Coqueta Blue |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Dandona |
1.40 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lucky Berry |
8.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Reina Del Viento |
30.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Caura |
30.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Brown Diamond |
4.50 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
That Police |
15.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
8 |
8 |
Divine Secrets |
6.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.