Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden) – Maiden
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Love Eye See | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Golddigging Ashley 2 | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Oh Relentless Go | 4.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shining Path | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kamikaze Cartel | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dash Cowboy Dash | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Swivels | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cowboy 123 | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dickey Bob | 1.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Relentlessly Fast | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rosalba Rdrgz | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Apollitical Hot | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mr Dash Fire | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Covered Bridges S.) – Covered Bridges S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Into the Lite | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | We Call Him Joneson | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | P Fifty One | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cartel Can Fly | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Apolitical Seis | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Katch This Eagle | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cash Back Hero | 2.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Just Tell Jess | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Seventeen Black | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kobe’s Cause | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Succession | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cinco de Mo | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Rules | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Big Commerce | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whiting Field | 1.60 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ez Fitz | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bureaucratic | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I Got a Guy | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eye of the Panthor | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Freedom to Speed | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | C R Insta Gator | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dreadpirateroberts | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | On a Dare | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Macho Forty Five | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fleet of Hoof | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mistletolee | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flat Out Chrome | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Summers With Sonya | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Song of Songs | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Ten of Hearts | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Vern | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Danzing Mist | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mspunkinsperegrine | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Espiridion | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sabria | 10.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sorcerer’s Girl | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Luckyhotstuff | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kasa | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sing Lucy Sing | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aprettylulaby | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Gatlinburg | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Brahms Image | 10.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mo Lute | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Specialsortastorm | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spenard | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Butch | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Irish Ransom | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lu’s Time | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gisele’s Map | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sister Swede | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shannon K | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Morningnoonandnite | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tommy’s Crue | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tennessee Grace | 5.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mind Your Mo | 3.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.