Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, August 31, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Ivory and Ebony 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Bon Vivant 4.50 1.4 3-1
3 3 Endorse 3.50 1.5 3-1
6 6 Resurge 3.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Pinch of Bourbon 15.00 5 10-1
2 2 Delicious Diva 10.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Aeolian 4.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Funny Factor 12.00 1 2-1
1 1 Daisy Doo 8.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Mr. Bres 3.50 4.5 9-1
6 6 Bold Love 12.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 A Little At First 5.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Dinghy Bar 12.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Kuleana 4.50 5.8 11-1
9 9 Story of Rory 8.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Hellz Kitchen 6.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Twenty One Red 8.00 7.1 13-1
13 13 Three Thirteen 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Force 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Chummers 3.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Hoity Moroni 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 5 Top Gun Rocket 3.50 1 2-1
2 1 Echo Again 2.50 1.7 3-1
4 3 Society Man 6.00 2.5 5-1
5 4 Dilger (IRE) 3.00 2.6 5-1
3 2 Capital Idea 4.50 3.9 7-1
7 8 Crushed It 8.00 4.3 8-1
6 7 Le Gris 12.00 4.5 9-1
1A 6 Passing Game 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Cosmic Candy Girl 10.00 1 2-1
2 2 Roseberns Dream 12.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Maria Callas 1.80 2.5 5-1
4 4 Livin the Breeze 5.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Boomington 8.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Spectacular Belle 6.00 4.8 9-1
11 11 Rose Lisa 8.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Joropo 15.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Solemn Beauty 15.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Athena’s Fury 15.00 5.8 11-1
12 12 Considerate City 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Flying Phoebe 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Raynham Hall 8.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Ty Ty Rose 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Makealittlelove 6.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Island Charm 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Jockey Club Gold Cup S.) – Jockey Club Gold Cup S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mindframe 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Highland Falls 5.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Sierra Leone 1.60 1.9 4-1
8 8 Antiquarian 12.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Phileas Fogg 15.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 White Abarrio 8.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Disarm 15.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Contrary Thinking 50.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Banishing 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Virgin Colada 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Sea To Sky (IRE) 8.00 1.9 3-1
8 8 Sol d’Oro 10.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Obeissante 8.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Peak Hype 4.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Cliffs 4.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Double Velocity 20.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Pookie 12.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Don’t Jinx It 15.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Annelle 15.00 5.5 10-1
11 11 Meursault 1.20 SCRATCH
13 13 Donor Advised 3.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Low Key 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 All About You 6.00 1 2-1
8 7 Lovely Christina 2.50 1.1 2-1
12 12 Buckeye Favorite 10.00 1.4 3-1
11 11 Karma Cat 5.00 5.6 11-1
9 8 Celebrity Quest 6.00 5.9 11-1
2 9 Pie Phi 20.00 6.2 12-1
3 2 Paige Turner 8.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Fierce Fairshinda 20.00 6.4 12-1
7 6 Just Tell Anne 10.00 6.5 12-1
6 5 People Watching 15.00 6.8 13-1
5 4 Fancy n’ Flight 20.00 7 13-1
10 10 Essence L Vee 20.00 7.4 14-1
1A 14 Bodacious Queen 20.00 SCRATCH
2B 13 Quality Swag 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Pass the Hat 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Protective 4.50 3.1 6-1
7 7 Tap Into This 3.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Burning Glory 8.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Mega Magic 12.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Rocketeer 8.00 4.5 8-1
10 10 Vekoma Rides 10.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Houlton 10.00 5.6 11-1
11 11 Insurmountable 20.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Georgia Magic 20.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Vettriano 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 V Cruizer 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 12 Sunrise 4.00 1 2-1
7 6 Handsome Linc 10.00 2.3 4-1
9 8 Royal Guard 4.00 3.3 6-1
4 3 Spectacle 5.00 6.5 12-1
8 7 Section 8.00 6.6 12-1
10 9 Tacticality 3.00 7.4 14-1
5 4 Omaha Storm 10.00 7.4 14-1
2 1 Triton 8.00 7.5 14-1
3 2 Chambersville 10.00 7.8 15-1
11 10 Glavine 10.00 8 15-1
1A 16 Determinedfinisher 6.00 SCRATCH
12 11 Mount Sopris 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Golden Rule 12.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Gulfy 12.00 SCRATCH
1 13 Prodigious 6.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Spherical 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Disco Partner S.) – Disco Partner S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Dancing Buck 10.00 1 2-1
9 9 Big Invasion 5.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Twenty Six Black 4.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Outlaw Kid 10.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Bold Journey 15.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Eamonn 20.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 Step Forward 12.00 7.8 15-1
11 11 Burninhunkoflove 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Alogon 4.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Works for Me 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Doncho 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Army Proud 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Eighty Gold 10.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Smallchangegeep 10.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Let’s Get Weird 15.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 College Hunk 20.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Renew the Blue 20.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Lodato 6.00 3.5 7-1
10 10 Vibrant Express 4.50 5.5 10-1
3 3 Rout 2.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Rare Society 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 12 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Navajo Warrior 2.00 1 2-1
7 8 Systemic Change 5.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Swaggish 3.50 2.5 5-1
1A 6 Alternate Reality 3.50 2.5 5-1
6 7 Gasoline 6.00 2.7 5-1
9 10 Hero Status 4.50 3.4 6-1
4 4 Rock the Weekend 15.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Six Kings 20.00 5.5 10-1
8 9 He’s Got This 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 No Confession 50.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 13 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Carolina Smokeshow 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Flatter Fanatic 12.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Kyle’s Mom 8.00 4.2 8-1
8 9 Julita 8.00 4.5 8-1
9 10 Our Lady Peace 5.00 4.8 9-1
2 1 Enigmatic 10.00 4.9 9-1
10 11 River Tay (IRE) 15.00 5.1 10-1
1A 8 That’sthefactjack 15.00 7.6 14-1
3 2 Going for Glory 20.00 7.7 14-1
1 3 Handle On You 15.00 8.6 16-1
12 13 Brooklyn Dantz 30.00 8.9 17-1
11 12 Belle Cherie 4.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Lollipops 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 14 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Deemer 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Lets Fight 4.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Hello Newman 3.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Mission Hill 15.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Wind Dancer 12.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 I Can See That 12.00 5 9-1
7 7 Blame It On K J 10.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Solomini’s Legacy 50.00 8.8 17-1
6 6 Yoheda Money Maker 30.00 9 17-1
5 5 Uncle Barrie 50.00 9.1 17-1
12 12 Brenchley 15.00 11.7 22-1
8 8 Monomoys Partner 50.00 11.9 22-1
16 16 Metatron 4.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Trinity River 3.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Blue Pill 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Alfred Bellows 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.