Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Oscar’s Hope | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Winning Method | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grunge | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Scrutinator | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stream It | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Epic Quest | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Pauly Factor | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rockies Balboa | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Barb | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Duration | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Only in America | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Private Flight | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Time to Win | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Voulezvous | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Luz de Guia | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Trinity River | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Makeyourmoment | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Alittlebitnaughty | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Powered by Coal | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ragazzo d’Oro | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pretrial Statement | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Cada Dia Mejor | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Carlin Contention | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Salt Spartan | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alfred Bellows | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Blue Pill | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | New York Scrappy | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Lachaise | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hands of Time | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Middle Market | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Global Prosperity | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | My Life Story | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Desperate Proposal | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1A | 13 | Willintoriskitall | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | English Castle | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Ennis Town | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 5 | Ready Set Twirl | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Printer’s Alley | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 15 | Vigano | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Dreamlike | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2B | 16 | Senegal | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Master Freud | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 14 | Fever Night | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Kavanaugh | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cocktailsnkringle | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1A | 11 | Otto Nipoti | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | No Merlot | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tomorrow’s Wish | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Career Risk | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | My Man Magoo | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Cyberbeast | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Reaction | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Volt | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 4 | Last Man Standing | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Raynham Hall | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Arinata | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sassy Sats | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Saint Margaret | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Harpy | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Joyful Dancer | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Last Call Jenna | 3.50 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | That’s Amore | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Island Charm | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Espresso Tini | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Dancingwithdestiny | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Big Heleonora | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Atenea | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Luciana’s Honor | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Too B Wed | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Credit Risk | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cue the Duckboats | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Next On Stage | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Points Is Points | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fast and Frisky | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Meursault | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Soundbite | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fully Subscribed | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Low Key | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Racing Colors | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Walk With Me | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Champagne Surprise | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Curlin’s Angel | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Beautiful (IRE) | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | War Siren (FR) | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Wrigleyville | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Collaboration | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Louise Procter (FR) | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Any Port | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bertrille | 30.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Scarlett’s Halo | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Island Fox | 50.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Thirteen Red Flags | 50.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Latest Edition | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Jackie the Joker | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Celtic Charm | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Purloin | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Backstretch Rose | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Spendthrift Hopeful S.) – Spendthrift Hopeful S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Romeo | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Buetane | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Soldier N Diplomat | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ted Noffey | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Curtain Call | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Aye Eye | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flyin Hawaiian | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Emphasis | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Saranac S.) – Saranac S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Stars and Strides | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Crudo | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Asbury Park (GB) | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tank | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Versus | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cairo Caper | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Magic Pathway | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Leon Blue | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Covert Law | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Thirteen Colonies | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Mi Bago | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Siesta Key | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Twolatebabydoll (FR) | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Loveontheleftbank | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Say Yes To Dreams (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | My Sherrona | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Divine Rose | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cleopatra’s Key | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Siyouni Flash (FR) | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Every Vote Counts (GB) | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Chasing the Storm | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Equitas | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Laylani Lou | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Just So Pretty | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Ratu Jawa | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Sonja Henie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Bint Al Dandy (IRE) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.