Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | In the Mix | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | H Q Wilson | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Opus Uno | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Another Juanito | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Texas Wildcat | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jewlz | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Comeback Girl | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tight Squeeze | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Young Love | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prime and Ready | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Baela | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lee’s Baby Girl | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | How Lovely (IRE) | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Double Cappuccino | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Toppers At Seaside | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Supreme Coast | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cano for the Win | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | War Swift | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lookin for Curly | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rocksalot | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Light Dragoon | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cagey Burglar | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tap and Go | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Case Hit | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Andtheomofthebrave | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Frank Bullitt | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Glorious Life | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Check’s On the Way | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Potito | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Far Western | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Prince Prancealot | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Grazed | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 98 | Belly Up | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Midnite Musket | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Cullen J | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Burglar | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Artisma | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Usha | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Showers | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jensco | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Shared Future | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dare to Fly | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | In the Air Tonight | 20.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Wishtheyallcouldbe | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Scary Fast Ride | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 98 | New Light (CHI) | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cortina d’Amprezzo (IRE) | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Olivia | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Radiant View | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Counterbalance | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mama Glows | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Yurak | 3.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bourbon Story | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rabid Response | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Una Mirada | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brave Deb | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Pentle Bay | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Hypergamy | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Miss Queue | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Super Corredora | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (I’m Smokin S.) – I’m Smokin S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sammy Davis | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thirsty Rebel | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fionello | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pavlovian | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Saul Elliott | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Max Ciao | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Desert Dawg | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Another Bulleit | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Ridegold | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | We the Hobby | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sasafran | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sparta F. C. | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | French Moonlight | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mperfection | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Penny Worth | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sally’s Wish | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hurry On Home | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lunar Ride | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Turkey Bird | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Pavel’s Etoile | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Warm Reception | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.